Today / Czech-Republic - 4. liga - Divizie F / Bílovec vs Bospor Bohumín

Bílovec vs Bospor Bohumín Prediction— Czech-Republic - 4. liga - Divizie F

Group F · Matchday 4 ·Sunday, August 23, 2026, 14:30

Bílovec

PPG 1.90 · HOME

LAST 5

DLLL ·

0 – 5

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · O2.5

Bospor Bohumín

PPG 1.77 · AWAY

LAST 5

WWWW ·

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.9 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-02.1%0-14.1%0-24.0%0-32.6%0-4+2.0%1 1-03.9%1-17.8%1-27.6%1-35.0%1-4+3.9%2 2-03.8%2-17.4%2-27.3%2-34.8%2-4+3.7%3 3-02.4%3-14.7%3-24.7%3-33.1%3-4+2.4%4+ 4+-01.8%4+-13.5%4+-23.4%4+-32.3%4+-4+1.8%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 35.4% — — —

Draw 22.5% — — —

Away win 42.1% — — —

Over 2.5 65.0% — — —

Over 3.5 43.5% — — —

BTTS 63.2% — — —

Home O1.5 54.9% — — —

Away O1.5 55.2% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 11 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 46%

O2.5 82%

BTTS 64%

Score Hit 9%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 7.8%

#2 1–2 7.6%

#3 2–1 7.4%

#4 2–2 7.3%

#5 1–3 5.0%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Bílovec1.9

Bospor Bohumín2.0

COMBINED 3.9 xG → O2.5 PROB 65.0% · O3.5 PROB 43.5%

Form & verdict PPG

BÍLOVEC · PPG 1.90

BOSPOR BOHUMÍN · PPG 1.77

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

xG gap -0.06 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Bílovec (H) 35.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 22.5%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Bospor Bohumín (A) 42.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Bílovec face Bospor Bohumín in Czech-Republic - 4. liga - Divizie F on Sunday, August 23, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Bílovec a 35% chance, the draw 23% and Bospor Bohumín 42%, so Bospor Bohumín are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.9 for Bílovec and 2.0 for Bospor Bohumín (3.9 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 65% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 63% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Bílovec are averaging 1.90 points per game versus 1.77 for Bospor Bohumín. This match finished 0-5.

Bílovec vs Bospor Bohumín Prediction— Czech-Republic - 4. liga - Divizie F

Match Preview & Prediction

More Czech-Republic - 4. liga - Divizie F Predictions