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Chlumec nad Cidlinou vs Kosmonosy Prediction— Czech-Republic - 4. liga - Divizie C

Group C · Matchday 3 ·Sunday, August 23, 2026, 08:15

Chlumec nad Cidlinou

PPG 1.52 · HOME

LAST 5

LDLL ·

0 – 2

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · O2.5

Kosmonosy

PPG 1.59 · AWAY

LAST 5

WDWW ·

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.5 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-03.1%0-15.2%0-24.5%0-32.5%0-4+1.6%1 1-05.5%1-19.3%1-27.9%1-34.5%1-4+2.8%2 2-04.9%2-18.3%2-27.1%2-34.0%2-4+2.5%3 3-02.9%3-14.9%3-24.2%3-32.4%3-4+1.5%4+ 4+-01.9%4+-13.3%4+-22.8%4+-31.6%4+-4+1.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 39.4% — — —

Draw 22.9% — — —

Away win 37.8% — — —

Over 2.5 64.6% — — —

Over 3.5 43.5% — — —

BTTS 63.2% — — —

Home O1.5 48.8% — — —

Away O1.5 48.5% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 8 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 63%

O2.5 63%

BTTS 38%

Score Hit 25%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 9.3%

#2 2–1 8.3%

#3 1–2 7.9%

#4 2–2 7.1%

#5 3–1 4.9%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Chlumec nad Cidlinou1.8

Kosmonosy1.7

COMBINED 3.5 xG → O2.5 PROB 64.6% · O3.5 PROB 43.5%

Form & verdict PPG

CHLUMEC NAD CIDLINOU · PPG 1.52

KOSMONOSY · PPG 1.59

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

xG gap +0.08 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Chlumec nad Cidlinou (H) 39.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 22.9%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Kosmonosy (A) 37.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Chlumec nad Cidlinou face Kosmonosy in Czech-Republic - 4. liga - Divizie C on Sunday, August 23, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Chlumec nad Cidlinou a 39% chance, the draw 23% and Kosmonosy 38%, so Chlumec nad Cidlinou are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.8 for Chlumec nad Cidlinou and 1.7 for Kosmonosy (3.5 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 65% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 63% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Chlumec nad Cidlinou are averaging 1.52 points per game versus 1.59 for Kosmonosy. This match finished 0-2.

Chlumec nad Cidlinou vs Kosmonosy Prediction— Czech-Republic - 4. liga - Divizie C

Match Preview & Prediction

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