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Nový Jičín vs Opava II Prediction— Czech-Republic - 4. liga - Divizie F

Group F · Matchday 4 ·Saturday, August 22, 2026, 14:30

Nový Jičín

PPG 1.36 · HOME

LAST 5

DWLW ·

2 – 5

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · BTTS

Opava II

PPG 1.36 · AWAY

LAST 5

DWWL ·

// Model verdict

BTTS

xG gap +0.18 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-05.3%0-17.3%0-25.0%0-32.3%0-4+1.1%1 1-08.3%1-111.4%1-27.9%1-33.6%1-4+1.7%2 2-06.4%2-18.9%2-26.1%2-32.8%2-4+1.3%3 3-03.3%3-14.6%3-23.2%3-31.5%3-4+0.7%4+ 4+-01.8%4+-12.5%4+-21.8%4+-30.8%4+-4+0.4%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 41.7% — — —

Draw 24.3% — — —

Away win 34.0% — — —

Over 2.5 53.9% — — —

Over 3.5 31.6% — — —

BTTS 54.7% — — —

Home O1.5 45.4% — — —

Away O1.5 41.2% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 11 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 46%

O2.5 82%

BTTS 64%

Score Hit 9%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 11.4%

#2 2–1 8.9%

#3 1–2 7.9%

#4 1–0 8.3%

#5 2–0 6.4%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Nový Jičín1.6

Opava II1.4

COMBINED 2.9 xG → O2.5 PROB 53.9% · O3.5 PROB 31.6%

Form & verdict PPG

NOVÝ JIČÍN · PPG 1.36

OPAVA II · PPG 1.36

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

xG gap +0.18 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Nový Jičín (H) 41.7%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 24.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Opava II (A) 34.0%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Nový Jičín face Opava II in Czech-Republic - 4. liga - Divizie F on Saturday, August 22, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Nový Jičín a 42% chance, the draw 24% and Opava II 34%, so Nový Jičín are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.6 for Nový Jičín and 1.4 for Opava II (2.9 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 54% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 55% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Nový Jičín are averaging 1.36 points per game versus 1.36 for Opava II. This match finished 2-5.

Nový Jičín vs Opava II Prediction— Czech-Republic - 4. liga - Divizie F

Match Preview & Prediction

More Czech-Republic - 4. liga - Divizie F Predictions