Today / Czech-Republic - 4. liga - Divizie F / Vratimov vs Valašské Meziříčí

Vratimov vs Valašské Meziříčí Prediction— Czech-Republic - 4. liga - Divizie F

Group F · Matchday 4 ·Saturday, August 22, 2026, 08:15

Vratimov logo
Vratimov
PPG 1.70 · HOME
LAST 5
LWWW ·
2 – 0
FULL TIME
✓ MODEL PICK HIT · HOME O1.5
Valašské Meziříčí logo
Valašské Meziříčí
PPG 0.91 · AWAY
LAST 5
LDLD ·

// Model verdict

Home Over 1.5

xG gap +1.26 - moderate Home edge

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-02.1%0-12.7%0-21.8%0-30.8%0-4+0.3%1 1-05.3%1-16.9%1-24.6%1-32.0%1-4+0.9%2 2-06.8%2-18.9%2-25.9%2-32.6%2-4+1.1%3 3-05.8%3-17.7%3-25.0%3-32.2%3-4+1.0%4+ 4+-07.0%4+-19.1%4+-26.0%4+-32.6%4+-4+1.1%
Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV
Home win 55.9%
Draw 21.7%
Away win 22.4%
Over 2.5 65.0%
Over 3.5 43.5%
BTTS 61.3%
Home O1.5 65.1%
Away O1.5 40.3%

League track record

Based on 11 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 46%
O2.5 82%
BTTS 64%
Score Hit 9%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 6.9%
#2 2–1 8.9%
#3 3–1 7.7%
#4 2–2 5.9%
#5 1–2 4.6%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Vratimov2.6
Valašské Meziříčí1.3

COMBINED 3.9 xG → O2.5 PROB 65.0% · O3.5 PROB 43.5%

Form & verdict PPG

VRATIMOV · PPG 1.70

VALAŠSKÉ MEZIŘÍČÍ · PPG 0.91

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value
52%
MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +1.26 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

Vratimov (H) 55.9%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Draw 21.7%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Valašské Meziříčí (A) 22.4%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Vratimov face Valašské Meziříčí in Czech-Republic - 4. liga - Divizie F on Saturday, August 22, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Vratimov a 56% chance, the draw 22% and Valašské Meziříčí 22%, so Vratimov are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.6 for Vratimov and 1.3 for Valašské Meziříčí (3.9 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 65% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 61% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Vratimov are averaging 1.70 points per game versus 0.91 for Valašské Meziříčí. This match finished 2-0.

PredictVantage

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