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Trutnov vs Chrudim II Prediction— Czech-Republic - 4. liga - Divizie C

Group C · Matchday 3 ·Saturday, August 22, 2026, 15:00

Trutnov

PPG 1.25 · HOME

LAST 5

LLWW ·

5 – 0

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · HOME O1.5

Chrudim II

PPG 1.13 · AWAY

LAST 5

LLLL ·

// Model verdict

Home Over 1.5

xG gap +1.48 - moderate Home edge

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-01.3%0-11.8%0-21.3%0-30.6%0-4+0.3%1 1-03.7%1-15.3%1-23.9%1-31.9%1-4+0.9%2 2-05.4%2-17.8%2-25.7%2-32.7%2-4+1.4%3 3-05.2%3-17.6%3-25.5%3-32.7%3-4+1.3%4+ 4+-07.9%4+-111.4%4+-28.3%4+-34.0%4+-4+2.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 62.8% — — —

Draw 15.9% — — —

Away win 21.3% — — —

Over 2.5 71.8% — — —

Over 3.5 49.2% — — —

BTTS 63.2% — — —

Home O1.5 78.4% — — —

Away O1.5 41.2% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 8 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 63%

O2.5 63%

BTTS 38%

Score Hit 25%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–1 7.8%

#2 3–1 7.6%

#3 1–1 5.3%

#4 1–2 3.9%

#5 4–1 5.6%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Trutnov2.9

Chrudim II1.5

COMBINED 4.4 xG → O2.5 PROB 71.8% · O3.5 PROB 49.2%

Form & verdict PPG

TRUTNOV · PPG 1.25

CHRUDIM II · PPG 1.13

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +1.48 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

Trutnov (H) 62.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 15.9%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Chrudim II (A) 21.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Trutnov face Chrudim II in Czech-Republic - 4. liga - Divizie C on Saturday, August 22, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Trutnov a 63% chance, the draw 16% and Chrudim II 21%, so Trutnov are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.9 for Trutnov and 1.5 for Chrudim II (4.4 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-1. There is a 72% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 63% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Trutnov are averaging 1.25 points per game versus 1.13 for Chrudim II. This match finished 5-0.

Trutnov vs Chrudim II Prediction— Czech-Republic - 4. liga - Divizie C

Match Preview & Prediction

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