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Přepeře vs Turnov Prediction— Czech-Republic - 4. liga - Divizie C

Group C · Matchday 3 ·Saturday, August 22, 2026, 08:30

Přepeře

PPG 1.52 · HOME

LAST 5

LWWW ·

5 – 2

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · O2.5

Turnov

PPG 1.43 · AWAY

LAST 5

DWLL ·

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.7 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-02.6%0-14.3%0-23.6%0-32.0%0-4+1.2%1 1-05.1%1-18.6%1-27.2%1-34.0%1-4+2.4%2 2-05.1%2-18.5%2-27.1%2-34.0%2-4+2.4%3 3-03.3%3-15.6%3-24.7%3-32.6%3-4+1.6%4+ 4+-02.6%4+-14.4%4+-23.6%4+-32.0%4+-4+1.2%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 43.6% — — —

Draw 21.9% — — —

Away win 34.5% — — —

Over 2.5 64.6% — — —

Over 3.5 43.5% — — —

BTTS 63.2% — — —

Home O1.5 54.9% — — —

Away O1.5 48.5% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 8 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 63%

O2.5 63%

BTTS 38%

Score Hit 25%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 8.6%

#2 2–1 8.5%

#3 1–2 7.2%

#4 2–2 7.1%

#5 3–1 5.6%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Přepeře2.0

Turnov1.7

COMBINED 3.7 xG → O2.5 PROB 64.6% · O3.5 PROB 43.5%

Form & verdict PPG

PŘEPEŘE · PPG 1.52

TURNOV · PPG 1.43

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

xG gap +0.30 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Přepeře (H) 43.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 21.9%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Turnov (A) 34.5%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Přepeře face Turnov in Czech-Republic - 4. liga - Divizie C on Saturday, August 22, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Přepeře a 44% chance, the draw 22% and Turnov 35%, so Přepeře are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.0 for Přepeře and 1.7 for Turnov (3.7 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 65% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 63% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Přepeře are averaging 1.52 points per game versus 1.43 for Turnov. This match finished 5-2.

Přepeře vs Turnov Prediction— Czech-Republic - 4. liga - Divizie C

Match Preview & Prediction

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