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Box Hill vs Nunawading Prediction— Australia - Victoria Premier League 2

Matchday 25 ·Friday, August 21, 2026, 09:30

Box Hill

PPG 1.42 · HOME

LAST 5

LWDWL

1 – 0

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · HOME

Nunawading

PPG 0.70 · AWAY

LAST 5

LLLWD

// Model verdict

Home 56% chance

xG gap +0.96 - moderate Home edge

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-08.0%0-16.2%0-22.4%0-30.6%0-4+0.1%1 1-013.9%1-110.9%1-24.3%1-31.1%1-4+0.3%2 2-012.1%2-19.5%2-23.7%2-31.0%2-4+0.2%3 3-07.1%3-15.5%3-22.2%3-30.6%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-04.6%4+-13.6%4+-21.4%4+-30.4%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 55.5% — — —

Draw 22.7% — — —

Away win 21.7% — — —

Over 2.5 51.2% — — —

Over 3.5 30.9% — — —

BTTS 49.3% — — —

Home O1.5 48.8% — — —

Away O1.5 20.5% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 40 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 48%

O2.5 73%

BTTS 70%

Score Hit 28%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–0✓ 13.9%

#2 2–0 12.1%

#3 1–1 10.9%

#4 2–1 9.5%

#5 0–0 8.0%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Box Hill1.7

Nunawading0.8

COMBINED 2.5 xG → O2.5 PROB 51.2% · O3.5 PROB 30.9%

Form & verdict PPG

BOX HILL · PPG 1.42

NUNAWADING · PPG 0.70

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

Chance this pick lands

56%

MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +0.96 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

Box Hill (H) 55.5%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 22.7%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Nunawading (A) 21.7%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Box Hill face Nunawading in Australia - Victoria Premier League 2 on Friday, August 21, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Box Hill a 56% chance, the draw 23% and Nunawading 22%, so Box Hill are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.7 for Box Hill and 0.8 for Nunawading (2.5 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-0. There is a 51% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 49% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Box Hill are averaging 1.42 points per game versus 0.70 for Nunawading. This match finished 1-0.

Box Hill vs Nunawading Prediction— Australia - Victoria Premier League 2

Match Preview & Prediction

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