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Cambé vs Portuguesa Londrinense Prediction— Brazil - Paranaense - 3

Matchday 3 ·Sunday, August 9, 2026, 18:30

Cambé

PPG 1.61 · HOME

0 – 1

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · HOME

Portuguesa Londrinense

PPG 0.55 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home

xG gap +1.18 - moderate Home edge

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-09.8%0-15.6%0-21.6%0-30.3%0-4+0.0%1 1-017.2%1-19.8%1-22.8%1-30.5%1-4+0.1%2 2-015.0%2-18.6%2-22.5%2-30.5%2-4+0.1%3 3-08.7%3-15.0%3-21.4%3-30.3%3-4+0.0%4+ 4+-05.7%4+-13.2%4+-20.9%4+-30.2%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 55.5% — — —

Draw 24.3% — — —

Away win 20.3% — — —

Over 2.5 45.9% — — —

Over 3.5 26.1% — — —

BTTS 45.5% — — —

Home O1.5 49.2% — — —

Away O1.5 17.4% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 3 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 67%

O2.5 33%

BTTS 33%

Score Hit 33%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 38%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-1

xG (home)1.7 xG (away)0.6 BTTS prob45.5%

H 56% / xG 1.7-0.6 / U2.5 46% / NoBTTS 46%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–0 17.2%

#2 2–0 15.0%

#3 0–0 9.8%

#4 1–1 9.8%

#5 3–0 8.7%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Cambé1.7

Portuguesa Londrinense0.6

COMBINED 2.3 xG → O2.5 PROB 45.9% · O3.5 PROB 26.1%

Form & verdict PPG

CAMBÉ · PPG 1.61

PORTUGUESA LONDRINENSE · PPG 0.55

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +1.18 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

Cambé (H) 55.5%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 24.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Portuguesa Londrinense (A) 20.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Cambé face Portuguesa Londrinense in Brazil - Paranaense - 3 on Sunday, August 9, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Cambé a 56% chance, the draw 24% and Portuguesa Londrinense 20%, so Cambé are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.7 for Cambé and 0.6 for Portuguesa Londrinense (2.3 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-0. There is a 46% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 46% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Cambé are averaging 1.61 points per game versus 0.55 for Portuguesa Londrinense. This match finished 0-1.

Cambé vs Portuguesa Londrinense Prediction— Brazil - Paranaense - 3

Match Preview & Prediction

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