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União PR vs Oeste Brasil Prediction— Brazil - Paranaense - 3

Regular Season - 2 ·Sunday, August 2, 2026, 18:30

União PR

PPG 1.50 · HOME

UPCOMING

Oeste Brasil

PPG 0.69 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-014.2%0-111.0%0-24.2%0-31.1%0-4+0.2%1 1-016.8%1-112.9%1-25.0%1-31.3%1-4+0.3%2 2-09.9%2-17.6%2-22.9%2-30.8%2-4+0.2%3 3-03.9%3-13.0%3-21.2%3-30.3%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-01.5%4+-11.1%4+-20.4%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 46.1% — — —

Draw 29.9% — — —

Away win 24.0% — — —

Over 2.5 37.6% — — —

Over 3.5 21.2% — — —

BTTS 48.7% — — —

Home O1.5 32.6% — — —

Away O1.5 20.3% — — —

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 38%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.2 xG (away)0.8 BTTS prob48.7%

H 46% / xG 1.2-0.8 / U2.5 38% / NoBTTS 49%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–0 14.2%

#2 1–1 12.9%

#3 1–0 16.8%

#4 2–0 9.9%

#5 0–1 11.0%

Expected goals MODEL xG

União PR1.2

Oeste Brasil0.8

COMBINED 2.0 xG → O2.5 PROB 37.6% · O3.5 PROB 21.2%

Form & verdict PPG

UNIÃO PR · PPG 1.50

OESTE BRASIL · PPG 0.69

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚖ HIGH DRAW RISK - evenly matched, low-scoring expected | No clear v...

45%

HIGH_DRAW_RISK

xG gap +0.41, combined xG 1.95 - evenly matched, low-scoring, elevated Draw risk

Win probability 1X2

União PR (H) 46.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 29.9%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Oeste Brasil (A) 24.0%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

União PR face Oeste Brasil in Brazil - Paranaense - 3 on Sunday, August 2, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives União PR a 46% chance, the draw 30% and Oeste Brasil 24%, so União PR are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.2 for União PR and 0.8 for Oeste Brasil (2.0 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 38% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 49% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, União PR are averaging 1.50 points per game versus 0.69 for Oeste Brasil.

União PR vs Oeste Brasil Prediction— Brazil - Paranaense - 3

Match Preview & Prediction

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