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Grêmio Anápolis vs Trindade Prediction— Brazil - Goiano - 2

Matchday 4 ·Saturday, August 8, 2026, 19:00

Grêmio Anápolis

PPG 1.02 · HOME

3 – 0

FULL TIME

Trindade

PPG 1.02 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-09.5%0-110.3%0-25.6%0-32.0%0-4+0.7%1 1-012.0%1-113.1%1-27.1%1-32.6%1-4+0.9%2 2-07.6%2-18.3%2-24.5%2-31.6%2-4+0.6%3 3-03.2%3-13.5%3-21.9%3-30.7%3-4+0.2%4+ 4+-01.4%4+-11.5%4+-20.8%4+-30.3%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 43.8% — — —

Draw 28.5% — — —

Away win 27.8% — — —

Over 2.5 45.9% — — —

Over 3.5 27.0% — — —

BTTS 49.6% — — —

Home O1.5 36.6% — — —

Away O1.5 35.4% — — —

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 24%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 3-0

xG (home)1.3 xG (away)1.1 BTTS prob49.6%

H 44% / xG 1.3-1.1 / U2.5 46% / NoBTTS 50%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 13.1%

#2 0–0 9.5%

#3 1–0 12.0%

#4 0–1 10.3%

#5 2–1 8.3%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Grêmio Anápolis1.3

Trindade1.1

COMBINED 2.4 xG → O2.5 PROB 45.9% · O3.5 PROB 27.0%

Form & verdict PPG

GRÊMIO ANÁPOLIS · PPG 1.02

TRINDADE · PPG 1.02

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚖ HIGH DRAW RISK - evenly matched, low-scoring expected | No clear v...

45%

HIGH_DRAW_RISK

xG gap +0.18, combined xG 2.36 - evenly matched, low-scoring, elevated Draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Grêmio Anápolis (H) 43.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 28.5%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Trindade (A) 27.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Grêmio Anápolis face Trindade in Brazil - Goiano - 2 on Saturday, August 8, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Grêmio Anápolis a 44% chance, the draw 28% and Trindade 28%, so Grêmio Anápolis are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.3 for Grêmio Anápolis and 1.1 for Trindade (2.4 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 46% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 50% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Grêmio Anápolis are averaging 1.02 points per game versus 1.02 for Trindade. This match finished 3-0.

Grêmio Anápolis vs Trindade Prediction— Brazil - Goiano - 2

Match Preview & Prediction

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