Today / Brazil - Baiano - 2 / Fluminense De Feira vs SSA

Fluminense De Feira vs SSA Prediction— Brazil - Baiano - 2

Final ·Sunday, August 2, 2026, 18:00

Fluminense De Feira logo
Fluminense De Feira
PPG 3.00 · HOME
VS
UPCOMING
SSA logo
SSA
PPG 1.20 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home

xG gap +1.52 for Home, form 3.00 vs 1.20 - Strong consensus

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-04.9%0-13.7%0-21.4%0-30.3%0-4+0.1%1 1-011.2%1-18.3%1-23.1%1-30.8%1-4+0.2%2 2-012.6%2-19.4%2-23.5%2-30.9%2-4+0.2%3 3-09.5%3-17.1%3-22.7%3-30.7%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-09.2%4+-16.8%4+-22.5%4+-30.6%4+-4+0.1%
Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV
Home win 64.4%
Draw 20.2%
Away win 15.5%
Over 2.5 61.2%
Over 3.5 37.3%
BTTS 49.2%
Home O1.5 60.1%
Away O1.5 20.3%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 0 55%CONFIDENCE
xG (home)2.3 xG (away)0.7 BTTS prob49.2%

H 64% / xG 2.3-0.7 / O2.5 61% / NoBTTS 49%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–0 12.6%
#2 1–0 11.2%
#3 1–1 8.3%
#4 3–0 9.5%
#5 2–1 9.4%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Fluminense De Feira2.3
SSA0.7

COMBINED 3.0 xG → O2.5 PROB 61.2% · O3.5 PROB 37.3%

Form & verdict PPG

FLUMINENSE DE FEIRA · PPG 3.00

SSA · PPG 1.20

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value
66%
STRONG_HOME

xG gap +1.52 for Home, form 3.00 vs 1.20 - Strong consensus

Win probability 1X2

Fluminense De Feira (H) 64.4%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Draw 20.2%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
SSA (A) 15.5%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Fluminense De Feira face SSA in Brazil - Baiano - 2 on Sunday, August 2, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Fluminense De Feira a 64% chance, the draw 20% and SSA 16%, so Fluminense De Feira are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.3 for Fluminense De Feira and 0.7 for SSA (3.0 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-0. There is a 61% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 49% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Fluminense De Feira are averaging 3.00 points per game versus 1.20 for SSA.

PredictVantage

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