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Bahia U20 vs Fluminense de Feira U20 Prediction— Brazil - Baiano U20

Final ·Saturday, August 1, 2026, 18:00

Bahia U20

PPG 3.00 · HOME

UPCOMING

Fluminense de Feira U20

PPG 1.70 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home

xG gap +4.40 for Home, form 3.00 vs 1.70 - Strong consensus

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-00.2%0-10.2%0-20.1%0-30.0%0-4+0.0%1 1-01.0%1-10.9%1-20.4%1-30.1%1-4+0.0%2 2-02.7%2-12.5%2-21.2%2-30.4%2-4+0.1%3 3-04.8%3-14.5%3-22.1%3-30.6%3-4+0.2%4+ 4+-030.7%4+-128.6%4+-213.3%4+-34.1%4+-4+1.2%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 81.1% — — —

Draw 11.7% — — —

Away win 7.3% — — —

Over 2.5 80.6% — — —

Over 3.5 69.0% — — —

BTTS 62.1% — — —

Home O1.5 77.8% — — —

Away O1.5 26.7% — — —

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

4 – 1 70%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)5.3 xG (away)0.9 BTTS prob62.1%

H 81% / xG 5.3-0.9 / O2.5 81% / BTTS 62%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 5–0 6.8%

#2 4–0 6.4%

#3 5–1 6.4%

#4 4–1 6.0%

#5 3–0 4.8%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Bahia U205.3

Fluminense de Feira U200.9

COMBINED 6.3 xG → O2.5 PROB 80.6% · O3.5 PROB 69.0%

Form & verdict PPG

BAHIA U20 · PPG 3.00

FLUMINENSE DE FEIRA U20 · PPG 1.70

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

66%

STRONG_HOME

xG gap +4.40 for Home, form 3.00 vs 1.70 - Strong consensus

Win probability 1X2

Bahia U20 (H) 81.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 11.7%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Fluminense de Feira U20 (A) 7.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Bahia U20 face Fluminense de Feira U20 in Brazil - Baiano U20 on Saturday, August 1, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Bahia U20 a 81% chance, the draw 12% and Fluminense de Feira U20 7%, so Bahia U20 are favoured to win. Expected goals are 5.3 for Bahia U20 and 0.9 for Fluminense de Feira U20 (6.3 total). The most likely scoreline is 5-0. There is a 81% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 62% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Bahia U20 are averaging 3.00 points per game versus 1.70 for Fluminense de Feira U20.

Bahia U20 vs Fluminense de Feira U20 Prediction— Brazil - Baiano U20

Match Preview & Prediction

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