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Fluminense de Feira U20 vs Bahia U20 Prediction— Brazil - Baiano U20

Final ·Saturday, July 25, 2026, 18:00

Fluminense de Feira U20

PPG 2.00 · HOME

UPCOMING

Bahia U20

PPG 2.30 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.7 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-02.4%0-16.1%0-27.7%0-36.6%0-4+7.8%1 1-02.8%1-17.2%1-29.2%1-37.8%1-4+9.2%2 2-01.7%2-14.3%2-25.5%2-34.6%2-4+5.5%3 3-00.7%3-11.7%3-22.2%3-31.8%3-4+2.2%4+ 4+-00.3%4+-10.6%4+-20.8%4+-30.7%4+-4+0.8%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 16.3% — — —

Draw 18.6% — — —

Away win 65.1% — — —

Over 2.5 67.0% — — —

Over 3.5 45.8% — — —

BTTS 62.9% — — —

Home O1.5 35.5% — — —

Away O1.5 67.0% — — —

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 3 72%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.2 xG (away)2.6 BTTS prob62.9%

A 65% / xG 1.2-2.6 / O2.5 67% / BTTS 63%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–2 9.2%

#2 1–1 7.2%

#3 1–3 7.8%

#4 0–2 7.7%

#5 0–3 6.6%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Fluminense de Feira U201.2

Bahia U202.6

COMBINED 3.7 xG → O2.5 PROB 67.0% · O3.5 PROB 45.8%

Form & verdict PPG

FLUMINENSE DE FEIRA U20 · PPG 2.00

BAHIA U20 · PPG 2.30

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚠ RISKY - Form concerns with home team | No clear value

45%

DANGER

xG gap -1.37 - moderate Away edge

Win probability 1X2

Fluminense de Feira U20 (H) 16.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 18.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Bahia U20 (A) 65.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Fluminense de Feira U20 face Bahia U20 in Brazil - Baiano U20 on Saturday, July 25, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Fluminense de Feira U20 a 16% chance, the draw 19% and Bahia U20 65%, so Bahia U20 are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.2 for Fluminense de Feira U20 and 2.6 for Bahia U20 (3.7 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-2. There is a 67% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 63% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Fluminense de Feira U20 are averaging 2.00 points per game versus 2.30 for Bahia U20.