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Kallithea vs Niki Volos Prediction— Greece - Super League 2

Matchday 1 ·Monday, September 7, 2026, 14:00

Kallithea

PPG 1.41 · HOME

UPCOMING

Niki Volos

PPG 1.55 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-011.9%0-111.0%0-25.1%0-31.6%0-4+0.4%1 1-014.3%1-113.2%1-26.1%1-31.9%1-4+0.5%2 2-08.6%2-18.0%2-23.7%2-31.1%2-4+0.3%3 3-03.5%3-13.2%3-21.5%3-30.5%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-01.4%4+-11.3%4+-20.6%4+-30.2%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 43.9% 27.8% 3.60 +58.0%

Draw 27.4% 34.5% 2.90 -12.3%

Away win 28.7% 45.5% 2.20 -22.1%

Over 2.5 44.2% 34.7% 2.88 +27.3%

Over 3.5 24.0% 18.0% 5.55 +19.9%

BTTS 49.9% 44.6% 2.24 +11.8%

Home O1.5 33.0% 24.1% 4.15 +37.0%

Away O1.5 26.1% 35.7% 2.80 -16.2%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 28%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.2 xG (away)0.9 BTTS prob49.9%

H 44% / xG 1.2-0.9 / U2.5 44% / NoBTTS 50%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–0 14.3%

#2 1–1 13.2%

#3 0–0 11.9%

#4 0–1 11.0%

#5 2–0 8.6%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Kallithea1.2

Niki Volos0.9

COMBINED 2.1 xG → O2.5 PROB 44.2% · O3.5 PROB 24.0%

Form & verdict PPG

KALLITHEA · PPG 1.41

NIKI VOLOS · PPG 1.55

⚖ HIGH DRAW RISK - evenly matched, low-scoring expected

Chance this pick lands

50%

HIGH_DRAW_RISK

xG gap +0.28, combined xG 2.13 - evenly matched, low-scoring, elevated Draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Kallithea (H) 43.9%

ODDS 3.60 · IMPLIED 27.8% EV +58.0%

Draw 27.4%

ODDS 2.90 · IMPLIED 34.5% EV -12.3%

Niki Volos (A) 28.7%

ODDS 2.20 · IMPLIED 45.5% EV -22.1%

Match Preview & Prediction

Kallithea face Niki Volos in Greece - Super League 2 on Monday, September 7, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Kallithea a 44% chance, the draw 27% and Niki Volos 29%, so Kallithea are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.2 for Kallithea and 0.9 for Niki Volos (2.1 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-0. There is a 44% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 50% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Kallithea are averaging 1.41 points per game versus 1.55 for Niki Volos. The best value bet our model finds is H/O25, with an expected value of +44.7%.

Kallithea vs Niki Volos Prediction— Greece - Super League 2

Match Preview & Prediction

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