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Nam Dinh vs Hoang Anh Gia Lai Prediction— Vietnam - V.League 1

Matchday 1 ·Sunday, September 6, 2026, 11:00

Nam Dinh

PPG 1.58 · HOME

UPCOMING

Hoang Anh Gia Lai

PPG 1.17 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS 50% chance

Model probability 54.6% vs bookmaker-implied 47.6% — a clear edge.

+14.7% EXPECTED VALUE ↗

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-07.4%0-18.4%0-24.8%0-31.8%0-4+0.6%1 1-010.9%1-112.4%1-27.0%1-32.6%1-4+1.0%2 2-08.0%2-19.1%2-25.1%2-31.9%2-4+0.7%3 3-03.9%3-14.4%3-22.5%3-30.9%3-4+0.3%4+ 4+-02.0%4+-12.2%4+-21.3%4+-30.5%4+-4+0.2%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 45.0% 78.1% 1.28 -42.4%

Draw 25.7% 22.2% 4.50 +9.4%

Away win 29.3% 11.8% 8.50 +89.4%

Over 2.5 53.8% 60.6% 1.65 -11.2%

Over 3.5 31.6% 40.0% 2.50 -21.0%

BTTS 54.6% 47.6% 2.10 +14.7%

Home O1.5 39.9% 71.9% 1.39 -44.5%

Away O1.5 33.2% 16.5% 6.05 +100.9%

League track record ↗

Based on 3 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 67%

O2.5 67%

BTTS 67%

Score Hit 33%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 30%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.5 xG (away)1.1 BTTS prob54.6%

H 45% / xG 1.5-1.1 / O2.5 54% / BTTS 55%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 12.4%

#2 1–0 10.9%

#3 2–1 9.1%

#4 2–0 8.0%

#5 0–0 7.4%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Nam Dinh1.5

Hoang Anh Gia Lai1.1

COMBINED 2.6 xG → O2.5 PROB 53.8% · O3.5 PROB 31.6%

Form & verdict PPG

NAM DINH · PPG 1.58

HOANG ANH GIA LAI · PPG 1.17

✓ INTERESTING - Balanced match with high-value opportunity

Chance this pick lands

50%

BALANCED

xG gap +0.33 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Nam Dinh (H) 45.0%

ODDS 1.28 · IMPLIED 78.1% EV -42.4%

Draw 25.7%

ODDS 4.50 · IMPLIED 22.2% EV +9.4%

Hoang Anh Gia Lai (A) 29.3%

ODDS 8.50 · IMPLIED 11.8% EV +89.4%

Match Preview & Prediction

Nam Dinh face Hoang Anh Gia Lai in Vietnam - V.League 1 on Sunday, September 6, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Nam Dinh a 45% chance, the draw 26% and Hoang Anh Gia Lai 29%, so Nam Dinh are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.5 for Nam Dinh and 1.1 for Hoang Anh Gia Lai (2.6 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 54% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 55% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Nam Dinh are averaging 1.58 points per game versus 1.17 for Hoang Anh Gia Lai. The best value bet our model finds is A/O25, with an expected value of +129.0%.

Nam Dinh vs Hoang Anh Gia Lai Prediction— Vietnam - V.League 1

Match Preview & Prediction

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