Today / Hungary - NB III - Southwest / Majosi vs Érdi VSE

Majosi vs Érdi VSE Prediction— Hungary - NB III - Southwest

Southwest · Matchday 6 ·Sunday, August 30, 2026, 15:30

Majosi

PPG 1.69 · HOME

LAST 5

LLWLW

3 – 2

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · O2.5

Érdi VSE

PPG 1.40 · AWAY

LAST 5

DWDLL

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.7 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-02.5%0-14.0%0-23.2%0-31.7%0-4+1.0%1 1-05.3%1-18.4%1-26.7%1-33.5%1-4+2.0%2 2-05.5%2-18.8%2-27.0%2-33.7%2-4+2.1%3 3-03.8%3-16.1%3-24.8%3-32.6%3-4+1.4%4+ 4+-03.2%4+-15.2%4+-24.1%4+-32.2%4+-4+1.2%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 45.3% — — —

Draw 21.6% — — —

Away win 33.1% — — —

Over 2.5 68.2% — — —

Over 3.5 45.0% — — —

BTTS 63.1% — — —

Home O1.5 59.6% — — —

Away O1.5 47.9% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 7 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 100%

O2.5 100%

BTTS 71%

Score Hit 29%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 8.4%

#2 2–1 8.8%

#3 1–2 6.7%

#4 2–2 7.0%

#5 3–1 6.1%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Majosi2.1

Érdi VSE1.6

COMBINED 3.7 xG → O2.5 PROB 68.2% · O3.5 PROB 45.0%

Form & verdict PPG

MAJOSI · PPG 1.69

ÉRDI VSE · PPG 1.40

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

xG gap +0.50 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Majosi (H) 45.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 21.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Érdi VSE (A) 33.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Majosi face Érdi VSE in Hungary - NB III - Southwest on Sunday, August 30, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Majosi a 45% chance, the draw 22% and Érdi VSE 33%, so Majosi are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.1 for Majosi and 1.6 for Érdi VSE (3.7 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 68% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 63% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Majosi are averaging 1.69 points per game versus 1.40 for Érdi VSE. This match finished 3-2.