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Pécsi MFC vs Iváncsa Prediction— Hungary - NB III - Southwest

Southwest · Matchday 6 ·Sunday, August 30, 2026, 15:30

Pécsi MFC

PPG 2.41 · HOME

LAST 5

WWWWW

7 – 0

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · HOME

Iváncsa

PPG 1.27 · AWAY

LAST 5

WLWLL

// Model verdict

Home

xG gap +1.54 for Home, form 2.41 vs 1.27 - Strong consensus

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-03.3%0-13.1%0-21.5%0-30.5%0-4+0.1%1 1-08.1%1-17.6%1-23.6%1-31.1%1-4+0.3%2 2-010.1%2-19.5%2-24.5%2-31.4%2-4+0.4%3 3-08.3%3-17.8%3-23.7%3-31.2%3-4+0.3%4+ 4+-09.3%4+-18.7%4+-24.1%4+-31.3%4+-4+0.4%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 66.7% — — —

Draw 17.5% — — —

Away win 15.8% — — —

Over 2.5 64.2% — — —

Over 3.5 43.2% — — —

BTTS 55.0% — — —

Home O1.5 65.8% — — —

Away O1.5 25.7% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 7 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 100%

O2.5 100%

BTTS 71%

Score Hit 29%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–0 10.1%

#2 2–1 9.5%

#3 1–1 7.6%

#4 3–0 8.3%

#5 3–1 7.8%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Pécsi MFC2.5

Iváncsa0.9

COMBINED 3.4 xG → O2.5 PROB 64.2% · O3.5 PROB 43.2%

Form & verdict PPG

PÉCSI MFC · PPG 2.41

IVÁNCSA · PPG 1.27

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

66%

STRONG_HOME

xG gap +1.54 for Home, form 2.41 vs 1.27 - Strong consensus

Win probability 1X2

Pécsi MFC (H) 66.7%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 17.5%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Iváncsa (A) 15.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Pécsi MFC face Iváncsa in Hungary - NB III - Southwest on Sunday, August 30, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Pécsi MFC a 67% chance, the draw 18% and Iváncsa 16%, so Pécsi MFC are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.5 for Pécsi MFC and 0.9 for Iváncsa (3.4 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-0. There is a 64% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 55% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Pécsi MFC are averaging 2.41 points per game versus 1.27 for Iváncsa. This match finished 7-0.