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Milevsko vs Hořovicko Prediction— Czech-Republic - 4. liga - Divizie A

Group A · Matchday 4 ·Sunday, August 30, 2026, 15:00

Milevsko

PPG 1.40 · HOME

LAST 5

LDLL ·

0 – 1

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · BTTS

Hořovicko

PPG 1.55 · AWAY

LAST 5

DWLW ·

// Model verdict

BTTS

xG gap +0.24 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-04.3%0-16.2%0-24.5%0-32.2%0-4+1.1%1 1-07.2%1-110.5%1-27.7%1-33.7%1-4+1.9%2 2-06.1%2-18.9%2-26.5%2-33.2%2-4+1.6%3 3-03.5%3-15.1%3-23.7%3-31.8%3-4+0.9%4+ 4+-02.2%4+-13.1%4+-22.3%4+-31.1%4+-4+0.6%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 42.5% — — —

Draw 23.3% — — —

Away win 34.1% — — —

Over 2.5 59.8% — — —

Over 3.5 37.4% — — —

BTTS 60.8% — — —

Home O1.5 48.9% — — —

Away O1.5 40.9% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 6 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 50%

O2.5 50%

BTTS 50%

Score Hit 17%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 10.5%

#2 2–1 8.9%

#3 1–2 7.7%

#4 2–0 6.1%

#5 1–0 7.2%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Milevsko1.7

Hořovicko1.5

COMBINED 3.2 xG → O2.5 PROB 59.8% · O3.5 PROB 37.4%

Form & verdict PPG

MILEVSKO · PPG 1.40

HOŘOVICKO · PPG 1.55

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

xG gap +0.24 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Milevsko (H) 42.5%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 23.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Hořovicko (A) 34.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Milevsko face Hořovicko in Czech-Republic - 4. liga - Divizie A on Sunday, August 30, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Milevsko a 43% chance, the draw 23% and Hořovicko 34%, so Milevsko are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.7 for Milevsko and 1.5 for Hořovicko (3.2 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 60% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 61% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Milevsko are averaging 1.40 points per game versus 1.55 for Hořovicko. This match finished 0-1.