Today / Slovakia - 3. liga - West / Komárno II vs Beluša

Komárno II vs Beluša Prediction— Slovakia - 3. liga - West

West · Matchday 4 ·Sunday, August 30, 2026, 14:30

Komárno II

PPG 1.23 · HOME

LAST 5

DLDL ·

0 – 5

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · O2.5

Beluša

PPG 1.63 · AWAY

LAST 5

WWW ··

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.3 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-03.8%0-15.5%0-24.0%0-31.9%0-4+1.0%1 1-06.9%1-110.0%1-27.2%1-33.5%1-4+1.7%2 2-06.3%2-19.1%2-26.6%2-33.2%2-4+1.6%3 3-03.8%3-15.6%3-24.0%3-31.9%3-4+1.0%4+ 4+-02.7%4+-13.8%4+-22.8%4+-31.3%4+-4+0.7%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 43.4% — — —

Draw 22.4% — — —

Away win 34.2% — — —

Over 2.5 62.5% — — —

Over 3.5 39.3% — — —

BTTS 61.9% — — —

Home O1.5 52.8% — — —

Away O1.5 40.9% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 10 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 40%

O2.5 60%

BTTS 70%

Score Hit 40%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 10.0%

#2 2–1 9.1%

#3 1–2 7.2%

#4 2–0 6.3%

#5 2–2 6.6%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Komárno II1.8

Beluša1.4

COMBINED 3.3 xG → O2.5 PROB 62.5% · O3.5 PROB 39.3%

Form & verdict PPG

KOMÁRNO II · PPG 1.23

BELUŠA · PPG 1.63

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

xG gap +0.38 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Komárno II (H) 43.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 22.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Beluša (A) 34.2%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Komárno II face Beluša in Slovakia - 3. liga - West on Sunday, August 30, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Komárno II a 43% chance, the draw 22% and Beluša 34%, so Komárno II are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.8 for Komárno II and 1.4 for Beluša (3.3 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 63% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 62% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Komárno II are averaging 1.23 points per game versus 1.63 for Beluša. This match finished 0-5.