Today / Slovenia - 3. SNL - East / Podvinci vs Hajdina

Podvinci vs Hajdina Prediction— Slovenia - 3. SNL - East

East · Matchday 3 ·Sunday, August 30, 2026, 14:00

Podvinci

PPG 1.11 · HOME

LAST 5

LDW ··

4 – 1

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · BTTS

Hajdina

PPG 1.37 · AWAY

LAST 5

DWL ··

// Model verdict

BTTS

xG gap +0.34 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-06.4%0-17.7%0-24.6%0-31.9%0-4+0.7%1 1-09.9%1-111.9%1-27.2%1-32.9%1-4+1.1%2 2-07.6%2-19.2%2-25.5%2-32.2%2-4+0.9%3 3-03.9%3-14.8%3-22.9%3-31.2%3-4+0.5%4+ 4+-02.2%4+-12.6%4+-21.6%4+-30.6%4+-4+0.2%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 44.8% — — —

Draw 25.2% — — —

Away win 30.0% — — —

Over 2.5 53.5% — — —

Over 3.5 31.5% — — —

BTTS 54.3% — — —

Home O1.5 44.7% — — —

Away O1.5 36.4% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 5 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 80%

O2.5 80%

BTTS 60%

Score Hit 40%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 11.9%

#2 2–1 9.2%

#3 1–0 9.9%

#4 2–0 7.6%

#5 1–2 7.2%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Podvinci1.5

Hajdina1.2

COMBINED 2.8 xG → O2.5 PROB 53.5% · O3.5 PROB 31.5%

Form & verdict PPG

PODVINCI · PPG 1.11

HAJDINA · PPG 1.37

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

xG gap +0.34 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Podvinci (H) 44.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 25.2%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Hajdina (A) 30.0%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Podvinci face Hajdina in Slovenia - 3. SNL - East on Sunday, August 30, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Podvinci a 45% chance, the draw 25% and Hajdina 30%, so Podvinci are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.5 for Podvinci and 1.2 for Hajdina (2.8 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 54% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 54% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Podvinci are averaging 1.11 points per game versus 1.37 for Hajdina. This match finished 4-1.