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Langenthal vs Muttenz Prediction— Switzerland - 1. Liga Classic - Group 2

Group 2 · Matchday 4 ·Sunday, August 30, 2026, 13:00

Langenthal

PPG 2.20 · HOME

LAST 5

DWWW ·

2 – 1

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · O2.5

Muttenz

PPG 1.87 · AWAY

LAST 5

LWWL ·

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.4 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-03.3%0-14.9%0-23.7%0-31.8%0-4+1.0%1 1-06.3%1-19.4%1-27.1%1-33.5%1-4+1.8%2 2-06.1%2-19.1%2-26.8%2-33.4%2-4+1.8%3 3-03.9%3-15.8%3-24.3%3-32.2%3-4+1.1%4+ 4+-02.9%4+-14.3%4+-23.2%4+-31.6%4+-4+0.8%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 47.0% — — —

Draw 23.3% — — —

Away win 29.6% — — —

Over 2.5 63.1% — — —

Over 3.5 39.6% — — —

BTTS 63.1% — — —

Home O1.5 56.3% — — —

Away O1.5 41.2% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 8 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 50%

O2.5 88%

BTTS 88%

Score Hit 38%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 9.4%

#2 2–1✓ 9.1%

#3 1–2 7.1%

#4 2–2 6.8%

#5 2–0 6.1%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Langenthal1.9

Muttenz1.5

COMBINED 3.4 xG → O2.5 PROB 63.1% · O3.5 PROB 39.6%

Form & verdict PPG

LANGENTHAL · PPG 2.20

MUTTENZ · PPG 1.87

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

xG gap +0.42 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Langenthal (H) 47.0%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 23.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Muttenz (A) 29.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Langenthal face Muttenz in Switzerland - 1. Liga Classic - Group 2 on Sunday, August 30, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Langenthal a 47% chance, the draw 23% and Muttenz 30%, so Langenthal are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.9 for Langenthal and 1.5 for Muttenz (3.4 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 63% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 63% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Langenthal are averaging 2.20 points per game versus 1.87 for Muttenz. This match finished 2-1.

Langenthal vs Muttenz Prediction— Switzerland - 1. Liga Classic - Group 2

Match Preview & Prediction

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