Today / Myanmar - National League / Yangon United vs Sagaing United

Yangon United vs Sagaing United Prediction— Myanmar - National League

Matchday 1 ·Sunday, August 30, 2026, 09:00

Yangon United

PPG 2.24 · HOME

LAST 5

W ····

2 – 0

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · HOME O1.5

Sagaing United

PPG 1.06 · AWAY

LAST 5

L ····

// Model verdict

Home Over 1.5

xG gap +0.20 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-05.6%0-17.5%0-25.0%0-32.2%0-4+1.0%1 1-08.6%1-111.6%1-27.8%1-33.5%1-4+1.6%2 2-06.6%2-18.9%2-26.0%2-32.7%2-4+1.2%3 3-03.4%3-14.6%3-23.1%3-31.4%3-4+0.6%4+ 4+-01.9%4+-12.5%4+-21.7%4+-30.7%4+-4+0.3%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 44.0% — — —

Draw 24.2% — — —

Away win 31.7% — — —

Over 2.5 59.7% — — —

Over 3.5 36.3% — — —

BTTS 59.9% — — —

Home O1.5 43.6% — — —

Away O1.5 40.9% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 3 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 100%

O2.5 33%

BTTS 33%

Score Hit 100%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 11.6%

#2 2–1 8.9%

#3 1–2 7.8%

#4 1–0 8.6%

#5 2–0✓ 6.6%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Yangon United1.5

Sagaing United1.3

COMBINED 2.9 xG → O2.5 PROB 59.7% · O3.5 PROB 36.3%

Form & verdict PPG

YANGON UNITED · PPG 2.24

SAGAING UNITED · PPG 1.06

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

xG gap +0.20 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Yangon United (H) 44.0%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 24.2%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Sagaing United (A) 31.7%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Yangon United face Sagaing United in Myanmar - National League on Sunday, August 30, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Yangon United a 44% chance, the draw 24% and Sagaing United 32%, so Yangon United are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.5 for Yangon United and 1.3 for Sagaing United (2.9 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 60% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 60% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Yangon United are averaging 2.24 points per game versus 1.06 for Sagaing United. This match finished 2-0.