Today / Slovakia - 3. liga - West / Rača vs Gabčíkovo

Rača vs Gabčíkovo Prediction— Slovakia - 3. liga - West

West · Matchday 4 ·Sunday, August 30, 2026, 08:30

Rača

PPG 0.98 · HOME

LAST 5

DLL ··

1 – 2

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · O2.5

Gabčíkovo

PPG 0.76 · AWAY

LAST 5

WLWW ·

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.5 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-03.1%0-14.0%0-22.6%0-31.1%0-4+0.5%1 1-06.7%1-18.7%1-25.7%1-32.5%1-4+1.1%2 2-07.3%2-19.5%2-26.2%2-32.7%2-4+1.2%3 3-05.3%3-16.9%3-24.5%3-32.0%3-4+0.9%4+ 4+-04.8%4+-16.3%4+-24.1%4+-31.8%4+-4+0.8%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 51.9% — — —

Draw 21.8% — — —

Away win 26.4% — — —

Over 2.5 64.2% — — —

Over 3.5 43.2% — — —

BTTS 62.2% — — —

Home O1.5 65.7% — — —

Away O1.5 38.7% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 10 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 40%

O2.5 60%

BTTS 70%

Score Hit 40%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 8.7%

#2 2–1 9.5%

#3 1–2✓ 5.7%

#4 2–0 7.3%

#5 3–1 6.9%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Rača2.2

Gabčíkovo1.3

COMBINED 3.5 xG → O2.5 PROB 64.2% · O3.5 PROB 43.2%

Form & verdict PPG

RAČA · PPG 0.98

GABČÍKOVO · PPG 0.76

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +0.88 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

Rača (H) 51.9%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 21.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Gabčíkovo (A) 26.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Rača face Gabčíkovo in Slovakia - 3. liga - West on Sunday, August 30, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Rača a 52% chance, the draw 22% and Gabčíkovo 26%, so Rača are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.2 for Rača and 1.3 for Gabčíkovo (3.5 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 64% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 62% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Rača are averaging 0.98 points per game versus 0.76 for Gabčíkovo. This match finished 1-2.