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Baník Sokolov vs Štětí Prediction— Czech-Republic - 4. liga - Divizie B

Group B · Matchday 4 ·Sunday, August 30, 2026, 08:15

Baník Sokolov

PPG 1.42 · HOME

LAST 5

WLW ··

3 – 1

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · HOME O1.5

Štětí

PPG 0.91 · AWAY

LAST 5

LLWL ·

// Model verdict

Home Over 1.5

xG gap +1.00 - moderate Home edge

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-03.0%0-13.8%0-22.4%0-31.0%0-4+0.4%1 1-06.8%1-18.5%1-25.3%1-32.2%1-4+0.9%2 2-07.6%2-19.5%2-26.0%2-32.5%2-4+1.0%3 3-05.7%3-17.2%3-24.5%3-31.9%3-4+0.8%4+ 4+-05.4%4+-16.8%4+-24.3%4+-31.8%4+-4+0.7%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 55.8% — — —

Draw 22.0% — — —

Away win 22.1% — — —

Over 2.5 63.1% — — —

Over 3.5 39.7% — — —

BTTS 60.7% — — —

Home O1.5 65.8% — — —

Away O1.5 36.6% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 6 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 67%

O2.5 83%

BTTS 67%

Score Hit 33%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 8.5%

#2 2–1 9.5%

#3 2–0 7.6%

#4 3–1✓ 7.2%

#5 1–2 5.3%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Baník Sokolov2.3

Štětí1.3

COMBINED 3.5 xG → O2.5 PROB 63.1% · O3.5 PROB 39.7%

Form & verdict PPG

BANÍK SOKOLOV · PPG 1.42

ŠTĚTÍ · PPG 0.91

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +1.00 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

Baník Sokolov (H) 55.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 22.0%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Štětí (A) 22.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Baník Sokolov face Štětí in Czech-Republic - 4. liga - Divizie B on Sunday, August 30, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Baník Sokolov a 56% chance, the draw 22% and Štětí 22%, so Baník Sokolov are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.3 for Baník Sokolov and 1.3 for Štětí (3.5 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 63% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 61% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Baník Sokolov are averaging 1.42 points per game versus 0.91 for Štětí. This match finished 3-1.