Today / Myanmar - National League / Ayeyawady United vs I.S.P.E

Ayeyawady United vs I.S.P.E Prediction— Myanmar - National League

Matchday 1 ·Saturday, August 29, 2026, 09:00

Ayeyawady United

PPG 1.35 · HOME

LAST 5

W ····

2 – 1

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · BTTS

I.S.P.E

PPG 1.12 · AWAY

LAST 5

L ····

// Model verdict

BTTS

xG gap +0.18 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-03.5%0-15.5%0-24.4%0-32.3%0-4+1.3%1 1-06.1%1-19.8%1-27.8%1-34.1%1-4+2.3%2 2-05.4%2-18.6%2-26.9%2-33.7%2-4+2.1%3 3-03.2%3-15.1%3-24.1%3-32.2%3-4+1.2%4+ 4+-02.1%4+-13.4%4+-22.7%4+-31.4%4+-4+0.8%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 43.3% — — —

Draw 22.5% — — —

Away win 34.2% — — —

Over 2.5 63.4% — — —

Over 3.5 40.5% — — —

BTTS 63.1% — — —

Home O1.5 48.9% — — —

Away O1.5 47.9% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 3 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 100%

O2.5 33%

BTTS 33%

Score Hit 100%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 9.8%

#2 2–1✓ 8.6%

#3 1–2 7.8%

#4 2–2 6.9%

#5 2–0 5.4%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Ayeyawady United1.8

I.S.P.E1.6

COMBINED 3.4 xG → O2.5 PROB 63.4% · O3.5 PROB 40.5%

Form & verdict PPG

AYEYAWADY UNITED · PPG 1.35

I.S.P.E · PPG 1.12

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

xG gap +0.18 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Ayeyawady United (H) 43.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 22.5%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

I.S.P.E (A) 34.2%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Ayeyawady United face I.S.P.E in Myanmar - National League on Saturday, August 29, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Ayeyawady United a 43% chance, the draw 23% and I.S.P.E 34%, so Ayeyawady United are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.8 for Ayeyawady United and 1.6 for I.S.P.E (3.4 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 63% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 63% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Ayeyawady United are averaging 1.35 points per game versus 1.12 for I.S.P.E. This match finished 2-1.