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Grasshopper II vs Zug Prediction— Switzerland - 1. Liga Classic - Group 2

Group 2 · Matchday 4 ·Saturday, August 29, 2026, 16:00

Grasshopper II

PPG 1.63 · HOME

LAST 5

WLWL ·

1 – 2

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · O2.5

Zug

PPG 0.90 · AWAY

LAST 5

LLLW ·

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.7 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-02.5%0-13.2%0-22.0%0-30.9%0-4+0.4%1 1-06.1%1-17.7%1-24.9%1-32.1%1-4+0.9%2 2-07.4%2-19.3%2-25.9%2-32.5%2-4+1.0%3 3-05.9%3-17.5%3-24.7%3-32.0%3-4+0.8%4+ 4+-06.3%4+-18.0%4+-25.0%4+-32.1%4+-4+0.9%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 57.4% — — —

Draw 20.4% — — —

Away win 22.2% — — —

Over 2.5 68.2% — — —

Over 3.5 45.0% — — —

BTTS 63.1% — — —

Home O1.5 65.8% — — —

Away O1.5 36.6% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 8 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 50%

O2.5 88%

BTTS 88%

Score Hit 38%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–1 9.3%

#2 1–1 7.7%

#3 3–1 7.5%

#4 2–0 7.4%

#5 1–2✓ 4.9%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Grasshopper II2.4

Zug1.3

COMBINED 3.7 xG → O2.5 PROB 68.2% · O3.5 PROB 45.0%

Form & verdict PPG

GRASSHOPPER II · PPG 1.63

ZUG · PPG 0.90

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +1.15 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

Grasshopper II (H) 57.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 20.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Zug (A) 22.2%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Grasshopper II face Zug in Switzerland - 1. Liga Classic - Group 2 on Saturday, August 29, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Grasshopper II a 57% chance, the draw 20% and Zug 22%, so Grasshopper II are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.4 for Grasshopper II and 1.3 for Zug (3.7 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-1. There is a 68% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 63% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Grasshopper II are averaging 1.63 points per game versus 0.90 for Zug. This match finished 1-2.

Grasshopper II vs Zug Prediction— Switzerland - 1. Liga Classic - Group 2

Match Preview & Prediction

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