Today / Hungary - NB III - Southwest / Szekszárd vs Siofok

Szekszárd vs Siofok Prediction— Hungary - NB III - Southwest

Southwest · Matchday 6 ·Saturday, August 29, 2026, 15:30

Szekszárd

PPG 1.24 · HOME

LAST 5

LLLLL 

1 – 3

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · BTTS

Siofok

PPG 0.99 · AWAY

LAST 5

LWDDW

// Model verdict

BTTS

xG gap -0.38 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-05.0%0-18.4%0-27.1%0-34.0%0-4+2.5%1 1-06.5%1-111.0%1-29.3%1-35.2%1-4+3.2%2 2-04.3%2-17.2%2-26.1%2-33.4%2-4+2.1%3 3-01.9%3-13.2%3-22.7%3-31.5%3-4+0.9%4+ 4+-00.8%4+-11.4%4+-21.2%4+-30.7%4+-4+0.4%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 29.7% — — —

Draw 23.8% — — —

Away win 46.4% — — —

Over 2.5 56.4% — — —

Over 3.5 36.0% — — —

BTTS 54.8% — — —

Home O1.5 37.2% — — —

Away O1.5 47.9% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 7 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 100%

O2.5 100%

BTTS 71%

Score Hit 29%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 11.0%

#2 1–2 9.3%

#3 2–1 7.2%

#4 0–2 7.1%

#5 0–1 8.4%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Szekszárd1.3

Siofok1.7

COMBINED 3.0 xG → O2.5 PROB 56.4% · O3.5 PROB 36.0%

Form & verdict PPG

SZEKSZÁRD · PPG 1.24

SIOFOK · PPG 0.99

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

xG gap -0.38 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Szekszárd (H) 29.7%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 23.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Siofok (A) 46.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Szekszárd face Siofok in Hungary - NB III - Southwest on Saturday, August 29, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Szekszárd a 30% chance, the draw 24% and Siofok 46%, so Siofok are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.3 for Szekszárd and 1.7 for Siofok (3.0 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 56% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 55% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Szekszárd are averaging 1.24 points per game versus 0.99 for Siofok. This match finished 1-3.