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Concordia Basel vs Schötz Prediction— Switzerland - 1. Liga Classic - Group 2

Group 2 · Matchday 4 ·Saturday, August 29, 2026, 15:00

Concordia Basel

PPG 1.52 · HOME

LAST 5

WDLD ·

2 – 2

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · O2.5

Schötz

PPG 1.02 · AWAY

LAST 5

LWLD ·

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.4 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-03.3%0-14.6%0-23.2%0-31.5%0-4+0.7%1 1-06.7%1-19.3%1-26.5%1-33.0%1-4+1.4%2 2-06.7%2-19.4%2-26.5%2-33.0%2-4+1.4%3 3-04.5%3-16.3%3-24.4%3-32.0%3-4+1.0%4+ 4+-03.6%4+-15.0%4+-23.5%4+-31.6%4+-4+0.8%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 50.6% — — —

Draw 22.8% — — —

Away win 26.6% — — —

Over 2.5 62.3% — — —

Over 3.5 39.3% — — —

BTTS 61.0% — — —

Home O1.5 56.3% — — —

Away O1.5 40.9% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 8 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 50%

O2.5 88%

BTTS 88%

Score Hit 38%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 9.3%

#2 2–1 9.4%

#3 1–2 6.5%

#4 2–0 6.7%

#5 3–1 6.3%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Concordia Basel2.0

Schötz1.4

COMBINED 3.4 xG → O2.5 PROB 62.3% · O3.5 PROB 39.3%

Form & verdict PPG

CONCORDIA BASEL · PPG 1.52

SCHÖTZ · PPG 1.02

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +0.61 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

Concordia Basel (H) 50.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 22.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Schötz (A) 26.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Concordia Basel face Schötz in Switzerland - 1. Liga Classic - Group 2 on Saturday, August 29, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Concordia Basel a 51% chance, the draw 23% and Schötz 27%, so Concordia Basel are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.0 for Concordia Basel and 1.4 for Schötz (3.4 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 62% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 61% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Concordia Basel are averaging 1.52 points per game versus 1.02 for Schötz. This match finished 2-2.

Concordia Basel vs Schötz Prediction— Switzerland - 1. Liga Classic - Group 2

Match Preview & Prediction

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