Today / Slovenia - 3. SNL - East / Fužinar vs Dobrovce

Fužinar vs Dobrovce Prediction— Slovenia - 3. SNL - East

East · Matchday 3 ·Saturday, August 29, 2026, 15:00

Fužinar

PPG 1.73 · HOME

LAST 5

WW ···

5 – 1

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · HOME O1.5

Dobrovce

PPG 0.61 · AWAY

LAST 5

LLL ··

// Model verdict

Home Over 1.5

xG gap +1.47 - moderate Home edge

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-03.1%0-13.1%0-21.6%0-30.5%0-4+0.2%1 1-07.7%1-17.7%1-23.9%1-31.3%1-4+0.4%2 2-09.5%2-19.5%2-24.7%2-31.6%2-4+0.5%3 3-07.8%3-17.8%3-23.9%3-31.3%3-4+0.4%4+ 4+-08.6%4+-18.6%4+-24.3%4+-31.4%4+-4+0.4%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 64.9% — — —

Draw 19.7% — — —

Away win 15.4% — — —

Over 2.5 59.8% — — —

Over 3.5 39.3% — — —

BTTS 52.7% — — —

Home O1.5 65.8% — — —

Away O1.5 30.7% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 5 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 80%

O2.5 80%

BTTS 60%

Score Hit 40%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–0 9.5%

#2 2–1 9.5%

#3 1–1 7.7%

#4 3–0 7.8%

#5 3–1 7.8%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Fužinar2.5

Dobrovce1.0

COMBINED 3.5 xG → O2.5 PROB 59.8% · O3.5 PROB 39.3%

Form & verdict PPG

FUŽINAR · PPG 1.73

DOBROVCE · PPG 0.61

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +1.47 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

Fužinar (H) 64.9%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 19.7%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Dobrovce (A) 15.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Fužinar face Dobrovce in Slovenia - 3. SNL - East on Saturday, August 29, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Fužinar a 65% chance, the draw 20% and Dobrovce 15%, so Fužinar are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.5 for Fužinar and 1.0 for Dobrovce (3.5 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-0. There is a 60% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 53% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Fužinar are averaging 1.73 points per game versus 0.61 for Dobrovce. This match finished 5-1.