Today / Slovakia - 3. liga - West / Slovan Duslo Šaľa vs MŠK Senec

Slovan Duslo Šaľa vs MŠK Senec Prediction— Slovakia - 3. liga - West

West · Matchday 4 ·Saturday, August 29, 2026, 14:30

Slovan Duslo Šaľa

PPG 1.20 · HOME

LAST 5

LLLW ·

3 – 1

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · O2.5

MŠK Senec

PPG 1.44 · AWAY

LAST 5

WWLL ·

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.3 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-03.8%0-15.2%0-23.6%0-31.6%0-4+0.8%1 1-07.2%1-19.9%1-26.8%1-33.1%1-4+1.4%2 2-06.9%2-19.4%2-26.4%2-32.9%2-4+1.4%3 3-04.4%3-16.0%3-24.1%3-31.9%3-4+0.9%4+ 4+-03.2%4+-14.4%4+-23.0%4+-31.4%4+-4+0.6%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 47.0% — — —

Draw 23.0% — — —

Away win 30.0% — — —

Over 2.5 63.1% — — —

Over 3.5 39.3% — — —

BTTS 62.3% — — —

Home O1.5 56.3% — — —

Away O1.5 40.9% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 10 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 40%

O2.5 60%

BTTS 70%

Score Hit 40%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 9.9%

#2 2–1 9.4%

#3 1–2 6.8%

#4 2–0 6.9%

#5 2–2 6.4%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Slovan Duslo Šaľa1.9

MŠK Senec1.4

COMBINED 3.3 xG → O2.5 PROB 63.1% · O3.5 PROB 39.3%

Form & verdict PPG

SLOVAN DUSLO ŠAĽA · PPG 1.20

MŠK SENEC · PPG 1.44

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +0.53 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

Slovan Duslo Šaľa (H) 47.0%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 23.0%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

MŠK Senec (A) 30.0%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Slovan Duslo Šaľa face MŠK Senec in Slovakia - 3. liga - West on Saturday, August 29, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Slovan Duslo Šaľa a 47% chance, the draw 23% and MŠK Senec 30%, so Slovan Duslo Šaľa are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.9 for Slovan Duslo Šaľa and 1.4 for MŠK Senec (3.3 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 63% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 62% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Slovan Duslo Šaľa are averaging 1.20 points per game versus 1.44 for MŠK Senec. This match finished 3-1.