Today / Slovakia - 3. liga - East / Vranov nad Topľou vs Poprad

Vranov nad Topľou vs Poprad Prediction— Slovakia - 3. liga - East

East · Matchday 4 ·Saturday, August 29, 2026, 14:30

Vranov nad Topľou

PPG 1.10 · HOME

LAST 5

LLLL ·

0 – 3

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · O2.5

Poprad

PPG 1.52 · AWAY

LAST 5

LWWW ·

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.2 puts the goal expectation above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-04.2%0-16.7%0-25.3%0-32.8%0-4+1.6%1 1-06.6%1-110.5%1-28.4%1-34.5%1-4+2.5%2 2-05.2%2-18.3%2-26.6%2-33.5%2-4+2.0%3 3-02.8%3-14.4%3-23.5%3-31.9%3-4+1.1%4+ 4+-01.5%4+-12.5%4+-22.0%4+-31.0%4+-4+0.6%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 34.7% — — —

Draw 22.3% — — —

Away win 43.0% — — —

Over 2.5 62.3% — — —

Over 3.5 39.3% — — —

BTTS 60.8% — — —

Home O1.5 47.2% — — —

Away O1.5 47.9% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 9 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 100%

O2.5 78%

BTTS 22%

Score Hit 22%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 10.5%

#2 1–2 8.4%

#3 2–1 8.3%

#4 0–2 5.3%

#5 0–1 6.7%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Vranov nad Topľou1.6

Poprad1.6

COMBINED 3.2 xG → O2.5 PROB 62.3% · O3.5 PROB 39.3%

Form & verdict PPG

VRANOV NAD TOPĽOU · PPG 1.10

POPRAD · PPG 1.52

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

xG gap -0.01 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Vranov nad Topľou (H) 34.7%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 22.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Poprad (A) 43.0%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Vranov nad Topľou face Poprad in Slovakia - 3. liga - East on Saturday, August 29, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Vranov nad Topľou a 35% chance, the draw 22% and Poprad 43%, so Poprad are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.6 for Vranov nad Topľou and 1.6 for Poprad (3.2 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 62% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 61% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Vranov nad Topľou are averaging 1.10 points per game versus 1.52 for Poprad. This match finished 0-3.