Today / Slovakia - 3. liga - East / Slovan Sabinov vs Lipany

Slovan Sabinov vs Lipany Prediction— Slovakia - 3. liga - East

East · Matchday 4 ·Saturday, August 29, 2026, 14:30

Slovan Sabinov

PPG 1.02 · HOME

LAST 5

WLL ··

0 – 2

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · O2.5

Lipany

PPG 1.15 · AWAY

LAST 5

WLWW ·

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.4 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-03.4%0-15.6%0-24.5%0-32.5%0-4+1.5%1 1-06.0%1-19.7%1-27.9%1-34.3%1-4+2.5%2 2-05.2%2-18.5%2-26.9%2-33.8%2-4+2.2%3 3-03.0%3-14.9%3-24.0%3-32.2%3-4+1.3%4+ 4+-02.0%4+-13.2%4+-22.6%4+-31.4%4+-4+0.8%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 37.4% — — —

Draw 21.6% — — —

Away win 41.0% — — —

Over 2.5 64.2% — — —

Over 3.5 43.2% — — —

BTTS 63.1% — — —

Home O1.5 48.9% — — —

Away O1.5 47.9% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 9 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 100%

O2.5 78%

BTTS 22%

Score Hit 22%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 9.7%

#2 1–2 7.9%

#3 2–1 8.5%

#4 2–2 6.9%

#5 0–2✓ 4.5%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Slovan Sabinov1.7

Lipany1.6

COMBINED 3.4 xG → O2.5 PROB 64.2% · O3.5 PROB 43.2%

Form & verdict PPG

SLOVAN SABINOV · PPG 1.02

LIPANY · PPG 1.15

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

xG gap +0.12 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Slovan Sabinov (H) 37.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 21.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Lipany (A) 41.0%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Slovan Sabinov face Lipany in Slovakia - 3. liga - East on Saturday, August 29, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Slovan Sabinov a 37% chance, the draw 22% and Lipany 41%, so Lipany are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.7 for Slovan Sabinov and 1.6 for Lipany (3.4 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 64% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 63% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Slovan Sabinov are averaging 1.02 points per game versus 1.15 for Lipany. This match finished 0-2.