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Buochs vs Solothurn Prediction— Switzerland - 1. Liga Classic - Group 2

Group 2 · Matchday 4 ·Saturday, August 29, 2026, 14:00

Buochs

PPG 1.84 · HOME

LAST 5

WWLL ·

3 – 5

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · O2.5

Solothurn

PPG 1.51 · AWAY

LAST 5

WDLW ·

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.3 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-03.6%0-15.4%0-24.1%0-32.0%0-4+1.1%1 1-06.6%1-19.9%1-27.4%1-33.7%1-4+1.9%2 2-06.0%2-19.0%2-26.7%2-33.4%2-4+1.8%3 3-03.6%3-15.5%3-24.1%3-32.1%3-4+1.1%4+ 4+-02.5%4+-13.8%4+-22.8%4+-31.4%4+-4+0.7%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 46.3% — — —

Draw 23.5% — — —

Away win 30.1% — — —

Over 2.5 63.2% — — —

Over 3.5 39.5% — — —

BTTS 63.1% — — —

Home O1.5 51.5% — — —

Away O1.5 42.9% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 8 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 50%

O2.5 88%

BTTS 88%

Score Hit 38%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 9.9%

#2 2–1 9.0%

#3 1–2 7.4%

#4 2–0 6.0%

#5 2–2 6.7%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Buochs1.8

Solothurn1.5

COMBINED 3.3 xG → O2.5 PROB 63.2% · O3.5 PROB 39.5%

Form & verdict PPG

BUOCHS · PPG 1.84

SOLOTHURN · PPG 1.51

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

xG gap +0.32 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Buochs (H) 46.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 23.5%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Solothurn (A) 30.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Buochs face Solothurn in Switzerland - 1. Liga Classic - Group 2 on Saturday, August 29, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Buochs a 46% chance, the draw 24% and Solothurn 30%, so Buochs are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.8 for Buochs and 1.5 for Solothurn (3.3 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 63% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 63% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Buochs are averaging 1.84 points per game versus 1.51 for Solothurn. This match finished 3-5.

Buochs vs Solothurn Prediction— Switzerland - 1. Liga Classic - Group 2

Match Preview & Prediction

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