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Tuggen vs Taverne Prediction— Switzerland - 1. Liga Classic - Group 3

Group 3 · Matchday 4 ·Saturday, August 29, 2026, 14:00

Tuggen

PPG 2.25 · HOME

LAST 5

WWWW ·

4 – 2

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · O2.5

Taverne

PPG 1.62 · AWAY

LAST 5

LDWL ·

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.5 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-03.1%0-14.2%0-22.9%0-31.4%0-4+0.6%1 1-06.4%1-18.9%1-26.2%1-32.8%1-4+1.3%2 2-06.8%2-19.4%2-26.5%2-33.0%2-4+1.4%3 3-04.7%3-16.6%3-24.5%3-32.1%3-4+1.0%4+ 4+-04.0%4+-15.6%4+-23.9%4+-31.8%4+-4+0.8%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 52.5% — — —

Draw 22.0% — — —

Away win 25.5% — — —

Over 2.5 64.8% — — —

Over 3.5 43.2% — — —

BTTS 63.1% — — —

Home O1.5 59.6% — — —

Away O1.5 40.9% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 12 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 58%

O2.5 92%

BTTS 75%

Score Hit 67%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 8.9%

#2 2–1 9.4%

#3 2–0 6.8%

#4 1–2 6.2%

#5 3–1 6.6%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Tuggen2.1

Taverne1.4

COMBINED 3.5 xG → O2.5 PROB 64.8% · O3.5 PROB 43.2%

Form & verdict PPG

TUGGEN · PPG 2.25

TAVERNE · PPG 1.62

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +0.72 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

Tuggen (H) 52.5%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 22.0%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Taverne (A) 25.5%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Tuggen face Taverne in Switzerland - 1. Liga Classic - Group 3 on Saturday, August 29, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Tuggen a 53% chance, the draw 22% and Taverne 26%, so Tuggen are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.1 for Tuggen and 1.4 for Taverne (3.5 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 65% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 63% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Tuggen are averaging 2.25 points per game versus 1.62 for Taverne. This match finished 4-2.