Today / Switzerland - 1. Liga Classic - Group 3 / Freienbach vs Kosova

Freienbach vs Kosova Prediction— Switzerland - 1. Liga Classic - Group 3

Group 3 · Matchday 4 ·Saturday, August 29, 2026, 14:00

Freienbach

PPG 1.47 · HOME

LAST 5

DDLD ·

3 – 3

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · BTTS

Kosova

PPG 1.18 · AWAY

LAST 5

DDWD ·

// Model verdict

BTTS

xG gap +0.19 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-04.5%0-16.6%0-24.8%0-32.3%0-4+1.2%1 1-07.5%1-110.8%1-27.9%1-33.8%1-4+1.9%2 2-06.1%2-18.9%2-26.4%2-33.1%2-4+1.6%3 3-03.3%3-14.8%3-23.5%3-31.7%3-4+0.9%4+ 4+-02.0%4+-12.9%4+-22.1%4+-31.0%4+-4+0.5%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 39.4% — — —

Draw 24.6% — — —

Away win 35.9% — — —

Over 2.5 59.7% — — —

Over 3.5 36.7% — — —

BTTS 59.9% — — —

Home O1.5 48.9% — — —

Away O1.5 40.9% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 12 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 58%

O2.5 92%

BTTS 75%

Score Hit 67%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 10.8%

#2 1–2 7.9%

#3 2–1 8.9%

#4 2–0 6.1%

#5 2–2 6.4%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Freienbach1.6

Kosova1.5

COMBINED 3.1 xG → O2.5 PROB 59.7% · O3.5 PROB 36.7%

Form & verdict PPG

FREIENBACH · PPG 1.47

KOSOVA · PPG 1.18

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

xG gap +0.19 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Freienbach (H) 39.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 24.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Kosova (A) 35.9%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Freienbach face Kosova in Switzerland - 1. Liga Classic - Group 3 on Saturday, August 29, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Freienbach a 39% chance, the draw 25% and Kosova 36%, so Freienbach are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.6 for Freienbach and 1.5 for Kosova (3.1 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 60% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 60% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Freienbach are averaging 1.47 points per game versus 1.18 for Kosova. This match finished 3-3.