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Polonia Warszawa U19 vs Stal Rzeszów U19 Prediction— Poland - Central Youth League

Matchday 4 ·Saturday, August 29, 2026, 11:30

Polonia Warszawa U19

PPG 1.52 · HOME

LAST 5

LLDW ·

2 – 1

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · BTTS

Stal Rzeszów U19

PPG 1.23 · AWAY

LAST 5

DWDL ·

// Model verdict

BTTS

xG gap +0.46 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-05.9%0-17.0%0-24.1%0-31.6%0-4+0.6%1 1-09.7%1-111.5%1-26.8%1-32.7%1-4+1.0%2 2-08.0%2-19.5%2-25.6%2-32.2%2-4+0.8%3 3-04.4%3-15.2%3-23.1%3-31.2%3-4+0.5%4+ 4+-02.6%4+-13.1%4+-21.8%4+-30.7%4+-4+0.3%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 45.5% — — —

Draw 24.7% — — —

Away win 29.8% — — —

Over 2.5 53.5% — — —

Over 3.5 31.5% — — —

BTTS 54.8% — — —

Home O1.5 48.9% — — —

Away O1.5 33.8% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 8 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 50%

O2.5 50%

BTTS 38%

Score Hit 50%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 11.5%

#2 2–1✓ 9.5%

#3 1–2 6.8%

#4 2–0 8.0%

#5 1–0 9.7%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Polonia Warszawa U191.6

Stal Rzeszów U191.2

COMBINED 2.8 xG → O2.5 PROB 53.5% · O3.5 PROB 31.5%

Form & verdict PPG

POLONIA WARSZAWA U19 · PPG 1.52

STAL RZESZÓW U19 · PPG 1.23

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

xG gap +0.46 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Polonia Warszawa U19 (H) 45.5%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 24.7%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Stal Rzeszów U19 (A) 29.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Polonia Warszawa U19 face Stal Rzeszów U19 in Poland - Central Youth League on Saturday, August 29, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Polonia Warszawa U19 a 46% chance, the draw 25% and Stal Rzeszów U19 30%, so Polonia Warszawa U19 are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.6 for Polonia Warszawa U19 and 1.2 for Stal Rzeszów U19 (2.8 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 54% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 55% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Polonia Warszawa U19 are averaging 1.52 points per game versus 1.23 for Stal Rzeszów U19. This match finished 2-1.

Polonia Warszawa U19 vs Stal Rzeszów U19 Prediction— Poland - Central Youth League

Match Preview & Prediction

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