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Escola Varsovia U19 vs Arkonia U19 Prediction— Poland - Central Youth League

Matchday 4 ·Saturday, August 29, 2026, 08:30

Escola Varsovia U19

PPG 1.59 · HOME

LAST 5

LLLW ·

1 – 0

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · BTTS

Arkonia U19

PPG 1.54 · AWAY

LAST 5

WDDL ·

// Model verdict

BTTS

xG gap +0.29 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-04.1%0-16.0%0-24.3%0-32.1%0-4+1.0%1 1-07.1%1-110.4%1-27.5%1-33.6%1-4+1.8%2 2-06.2%2-19.0%2-26.6%2-33.2%2-4+1.6%3 3-03.6%3-15.2%3-23.8%3-31.8%3-4+0.9%4+ 4+-02.3%4+-13.4%4+-22.4%4+-31.2%4+-4+0.6%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 41.5% — — —

Draw 23.5% — — —

Away win 35.0% — — —

Over 2.5 59.7% — — —

Over 3.5 36.7% — — —

BTTS 60.3% — — —

Home O1.5 48.9% — — —

Away O1.5 40.9% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 8 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 50%

O2.5 50%

BTTS 38%

Score Hit 50%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 10.4%

#2 2–1 9.0%

#3 1–2 7.5%

#4 2–0 6.2%

#5 2–2 6.6%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Escola Varsovia U191.7

Arkonia U191.5

COMBINED 3.2 xG → O2.5 PROB 59.7% · O3.5 PROB 36.7%

Form & verdict PPG

ESCOLA VARSOVIA U19 · PPG 1.59

ARKONIA U19 · PPG 1.54

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

xG gap +0.29 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Escola Varsovia U19 (H) 41.5%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 23.5%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Arkonia U19 (A) 35.0%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Escola Varsovia U19 face Arkonia U19 in Poland - Central Youth League on Saturday, August 29, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Escola Varsovia U19 a 42% chance, the draw 24% and Arkonia U19 35%, so Escola Varsovia U19 are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.7 for Escola Varsovia U19 and 1.5 for Arkonia U19 (3.2 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 60% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 60% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Escola Varsovia U19 are averaging 1.59 points per game versus 1.54 for Arkonia U19. This match finished 1-0.

Escola Varsovia U19 vs Arkonia U19 Prediction— Poland - Central Youth League

Match Preview & Prediction

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