Today / Slovakia - 3. liga - West / DAC II vs Častkovce

DAC II vs Častkovce Prediction— Slovakia - 3. liga - West

West · Matchday 4 ·Saturday, August 29, 2026, 08:30

DAC II

PPG 2.02 · HOME

LAST 5

LWWL ·

1 – 3

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · HOME O1.5

Častkovce

PPG 0.68 · AWAY

LAST 5

LLLW ·

// Model verdict

Home Over 1.5

xG gap +1.69 for Home, form 2.02 vs 0.68 - Strong consensus

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-01.6%0-12.0%0-21.2%0-30.5%0-4+0.2%1 1-04.7%1-15.8%1-23.5%1-31.4%1-4+0.6%2 2-06.9%2-18.3%2-25.1%2-32.0%2-4+0.8%3 3-06.6%3-18.1%3-24.9%3-32.0%3-4+0.8%4+ 4+-09.8%4+-111.9%4+-27.2%4+-32.9%4+-4+1.2%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 64.0% — — —

Draw 15.3% — — —

Away win 20.7% — — —

Over 2.5 72.0% — — —

Over 3.5 49.5% — — —

BTTS 63.1% — — —

Home O1.5 77.3% — — —

Away O1.5 36.6% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 10 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 40%

O2.5 60%

BTTS 70%

Score Hit 40%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–1 8.3%

#2 3–1 8.1%

#3 2–0 6.9%

#4 1–1 5.8%

#5 3–0 6.6%

Expected goals MODEL xG

DAC II2.9

Častkovce1.2

COMBINED 4.1 xG → O2.5 PROB 72.0% · O3.5 PROB 49.5%

Form & verdict PPG

DAC II · PPG 2.02

ČASTKOVCE · PPG 0.68

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

66%

STRONG_HOME

xG gap +1.69 for Home, form 2.02 vs 0.68 - Strong consensus

Win probability 1X2

DAC II (H) 64.0%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 15.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Častkovce (A) 20.7%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

DAC II face Častkovce in Slovakia - 3. liga - West on Saturday, August 29, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives DAC II a 64% chance, the draw 15% and Častkovce 21%, so DAC II are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.9 for DAC II and 1.2 for Častkovce (4.1 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-1. There is a 72% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 63% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, DAC II are averaging 2.02 points per game versus 0.68 for Častkovce. This match finished 1-3.