Today / Czech-Republic - 4. liga - Divizie B / Újezd Praha 4 vs Ostrov

Újezd Praha 4 vs Ostrov Prediction— Czech-Republic - 4. liga - Divizie B

Group B · Matchday 4 ·Saturday, August 29, 2026, 08:15

Újezd Praha 4

PPG 2.31 · HOME

LAST 5

DWLW ·

3 – 2

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · HOME O1.5

Ostrov

PPG 1.52 · AWAY

LAST 5

LLL ··

// Model verdict

Home Over 1.5

xG gap +1.17 - moderate Home edge

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-01.9%0-12.7%0-21.9%0-30.9%0-4+0.4%1 1-04.9%1-16.8%1-24.8%1-32.2%1-4+1.1%2 2-06.3%2-18.7%2-26.1%2-32.8%2-4+1.4%3 3-05.3%3-17.5%3-25.2%3-32.4%3-4+1.2%4+ 4+-06.3%4+-18.8%4+-26.2%4+-32.9%4+-4+1.4%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 57.6% — — —

Draw 19.8% — — —

Away win 22.5% — — —

Over 2.5 68.2% — — —

Over 3.5 48.2% — — —

BTTS 63.1% — — —

Home O1.5 65.8% — — —

Away O1.5 40.9% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 6 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 67%

O2.5 83%

BTTS 67%

Score Hit 33%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–1 8.7%

#2 1–1 6.8%

#3 3–1 7.5%

#4 2–2 6.1%

#5 2–0 6.3%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Újezd Praha 42.6

Ostrov1.4

COMBINED 4.0 xG → O2.5 PROB 68.2% · O3.5 PROB 48.2%

Form & verdict PPG

ÚJEZD PRAHA 4 · PPG 2.31

OSTROV · PPG 1.52

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +1.17 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

Újezd Praha 4 (H) 57.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 19.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Ostrov (A) 22.5%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Újezd Praha 4 face Ostrov in Czech-Republic - 4. liga - Divizie B on Saturday, August 29, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Újezd Praha 4 a 58% chance, the draw 20% and Ostrov 23%, so Újezd Praha 4 are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.6 for Újezd Praha 4 and 1.4 for Ostrov (4.0 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-1. There is a 68% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 63% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Újezd Praha 4 are averaging 2.31 points per game versus 1.52 for Ostrov. This match finished 3-2.