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Chomutov vs Meteor Praha Prediction— Czech-Republic - 4. liga - Divizie B

Group B · Matchday 4 ·Saturday, August 29, 2026, 08:15

Chomutov

PPG 2.22 · HOME

LAST 5

WWWW ·

4 – 0

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · HOME O1.5

Meteor Praha

PPG 1.20 · AWAY

LAST 5

WLL ··

// Model verdict

Home Over 1.5

xG gap +1.03 - moderate Home edge

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-03.6%0-14.1%0-22.4%0-30.9%0-4+0.3%1 1-07.9%1-19.0%1-25.1%1-32.0%1-4+0.7%2 2-08.5%2-19.8%2-25.6%2-32.1%2-4+0.8%3 3-06.2%3-17.1%3-24.1%3-31.6%3-4+0.6%4+ 4+-05.6%4+-16.4%4+-23.7%4+-31.4%4+-4+0.5%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 56.6% — — —

Draw 21.9% — — —

Away win 21.4% — — —

Over 2.5 60.6% — — —

Over 3.5 38.8% — — —

BTTS 55.0% — — —

Home O1.5 65.7% — — —

Away O1.5 33.0% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 6 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 67%

O2.5 83%

BTTS 67%

Score Hit 33%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 9.0%

#2 2–1 9.8%

#3 2–0 8.5%

#4 3–1 7.1%

#5 1–2 5.1%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Chomutov2.2

Meteor Praha1.1

COMBINED 3.3 xG → O2.5 PROB 60.6% · O3.5 PROB 38.8%

Form & verdict PPG

CHOMUTOV · PPG 2.22

METEOR PRAHA · PPG 1.20

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +1.03 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

Chomutov (H) 56.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 21.9%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Meteor Praha (A) 21.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Chomutov face Meteor Praha in Czech-Republic - 4. liga - Divizie B on Saturday, August 29, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Chomutov a 57% chance, the draw 22% and Meteor Praha 21%, so Chomutov are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.2 for Chomutov and 1.1 for Meteor Praha (3.3 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 61% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 55% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Chomutov are averaging 2.22 points per game versus 1.20 for Meteor Praha. This match finished 4-0.