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Křimice vs Komárov Prediction— Czech-Republic - 4. liga - Divizie A

Group A · Matchday 4 ·Saturday, August 29, 2026, 08:15

Křimice

PPG 1.84 · HOME

LAST 5

LWWL ·

1 – 2

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · O2.5

Komárov

PPG 1.25 · AWAY

LAST 5

DDW ··

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.1 puts the goal expectation above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-04.6%0-15.4%0-23.2%0-31.2%0-4+0.5%1 1-08.8%1-110.3%1-26.1%1-32.4%1-4+0.9%2 2-08.3%2-19.8%2-25.8%2-32.3%2-4+0.9%3 3-05.3%3-16.2%3-23.7%3-31.4%3-4+0.5%4+ 4+-03.9%4+-14.6%4+-22.7%4+-31.1%4+-4+0.4%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 51.5% — — —

Draw 24.2% — — —

Away win 24.4% — — —

Over 2.5 57.7% — — —

Over 3.5 36.7% — — —

BTTS 55.0% — — —

Home O1.5 56.3% — — —

Away O1.5 33.0% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 6 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 50%

O2.5 50%

BTTS 50%

Score Hit 17%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 10.3%

#2 2–1 9.8%

#3 2–0 8.3%

#4 1–0 8.8%

#5 1–2✓ 6.1%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Křimice1.9

Komárov1.2

COMBINED 3.1 xG → O2.5 PROB 57.7% · O3.5 PROB 36.7%

Form & verdict PPG

KŘIMICE · PPG 1.84

KOMÁROV · PPG 1.25

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +0.73 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

Křimice (H) 51.5%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 24.2%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Komárov (A) 24.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Křimice face Komárov in Czech-Republic - 4. liga - Divizie A on Saturday, August 29, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Křimice a 52% chance, the draw 24% and Komárov 24%, so Křimice are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.9 for Křimice and 1.2 for Komárov (3.1 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 58% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 55% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Křimice are averaging 1.84 points per game versus 1.25 for Komárov. This match finished 1-2.