Today / Switzerland - 1. Liga Classic - Group 2 / Delémont vs Bassecourt

Delémont vs Bassecourt Prediction— Switzerland - 1. Liga Classic - Group 2

Group 2 · Matchday 4 ·Friday, August 28, 2026, 18:00

Delémont logo
Delémont
PPG 1.44 · HOME
LAST 5
DWLW ·
2 – 1
FULL TIME
✓ MODEL PICK HIT · HOME O1.5
Bassecourt logo
Bassecourt
PPG 0.69 · AWAY
LAST 5
LLLL ·

// Model verdict

Home Over 1.5

xG gap +1.06 - moderate Home edge

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-04.3%0-14.5%0-22.3%0-30.8%0-4+0.3%1 1-09.0%1-19.4%1-24.9%1-31.7%1-4+0.6%2 2-09.5%2-19.9%2-25.2%2-31.8%2-4+0.6%3 3-06.7%3-17.0%3-23.6%3-31.3%3-4+0.4%4+ 4+-05.7%4+-16.0%4+-23.1%4+-31.1%4+-4+0.4%
Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV
Home win 56.6%
Draw 21.9%
Away win 21.4%
Over 2.5 59.8%
Over 3.5 37.2%
BTTS 55.0%
Home O1.5 59.6%
Away O1.5 32.6%

League track record

Based on 8 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 50%
O2.5 88%
BTTS 88%
Score Hit 38%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 9.4%
#2 2–1 9.9%
#3 2–0 9.5%
#4 1–0 9.0%
#5 3–1 7.0%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Delémont2.1
Bassecourt1.0

COMBINED 3.1 xG → O2.5 PROB 59.8% · O3.5 PROB 37.2%

Form & verdict PPG

DELÉMONT · PPG 1.44

BASSECOURT · PPG 0.69

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value
52%
MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +1.06 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

Delémont (H) 56.6%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Draw 21.9%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Bassecourt (A) 21.4%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Delémont face Bassecourt in Switzerland - 1. Liga Classic - Group 2 on Friday, August 28, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Delémont a 57% chance, the draw 22% and Bassecourt 21%, so Delémont are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.1 for Delémont and 1.0 for Bassecourt (3.1 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 60% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 55% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Delémont are averaging 1.44 points per game versus 0.69 for Bassecourt. This match finished 2-1.

PredictVantage

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