Today / Slovakia - 3. liga - West / Spartak Myjava vs Veľké Ludince

Spartak Myjava vs Veľké Ludince Prediction— Slovakia - 3. liga - West

West · Matchday 4 ·Friday, August 28, 2026, 17:00

Spartak Myjava

PPG 2.35 · HOME

LAST 5

WDD ··

1 – 1

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · HOME O1.5

Veľké Ludince

PPG 0.76 · AWAY

LAST 5

DLD ··

// Model verdict

Home Over 1.5

xG gap +2.29 for Home, form 2.35 vs 0.76 - Strong consensus

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-02.1%0-11.7%0-20.6%0-30.2%0-4+0.0%1 1-06.6%1-15.1%1-22.0%1-30.5%1-4+0.1%2 2-010.1%2-17.8%2-23.0%2-30.8%2-4+0.2%3 3-010.3%3-18.0%3-23.1%3-30.8%3-4+0.2%4+ 4+-016.9%4+-113.1%4+-25.1%4+-31.3%4+-4+0.3%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 70.1% — — —

Draw 16.1% — — —

Away win 13.8% — — —

Over 2.5 68.2% — — —

Over 3.5 45.0% — — —

BTTS 53.4% — — —

Home O1.5 77.3% — — —

Away O1.5 22.9% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 10 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 40%

O2.5 60%

BTTS 70%

Score Hit 40%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 3–0 10.3%

#2 2–0 10.1%

#3 1–1✓ 5.1%

#4 3–1 8.0%

#5 4–0 7.9%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Spartak Myjava3.1

Veľké Ludince0.8

COMBINED 3.8 xG → O2.5 PROB 68.2% · O3.5 PROB 45.0%

Form & verdict PPG

SPARTAK MYJAVA · PPG 2.35

VEĽKÉ LUDINCE · PPG 0.76

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

66%

STRONG_HOME

xG gap +2.29 for Home, form 2.35 vs 0.76 - Strong consensus

Win probability 1X2

Spartak Myjava (H) 70.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 16.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Veľké Ludince (A) 13.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Spartak Myjava face Veľké Ludince in Slovakia - 3. liga - West on Friday, August 28, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Spartak Myjava a 70% chance, the draw 16% and Veľké Ludince 14%, so Spartak Myjava are favoured to win. Expected goals are 3.1 for Spartak Myjava and 0.8 for Veľké Ludince (3.8 total). The most likely scoreline is 3-0. There is a 68% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 53% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Spartak Myjava are averaging 2.35 points per game versus 0.76 for Veľké Ludince. This match finished 1-1.