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Courtételle vs Münsingen Prediction— Switzerland - 1. Liga Classic - Group 2

Group 2 · Matchday 2 ·Wednesday, August 26, 2026, 18:15

Courtételle

PPG 1.76 · HOME

LAST 5

DWWW ·

4 – 0

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · HOME

Münsingen

PPG 1.48 · AWAY

LAST 5

LLLD ·

// Model verdict

Home

Model probability 53.5% vs bookmaker-implied 62.5%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-06.8%0-16.2%0-22.8%0-30.8%0-4+0.2%1 1-012.1%1-111.0%1-25.0%1-31.5%1-4+0.4%2 2-010.8%2-19.8%2-24.4%2-31.3%2-4+0.4%3 3-06.4%3-15.8%3-22.6%3-30.8%3-4+0.2%4+ 4+-04.3%4+-13.9%4+-21.7%4+-30.5%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 53.5% 62.5% 1.60 -14.4%

Draw 24.6% 25.0% 4.00 -1.0%

Away win 21.9% 23.8% 4.20 -4.8%

Over 2.5 50.5% 60.6% 1.65 -16.7%

Over 3.5 29.3% 40.2% 2.49 -16.2%

BTTS 49.2% 61.3% 1.63 -19.8%

Home O1.5 48.9% 62.1% 1.61 -21.3%

Away O1.5 25.7% 32.3% 3.10 -12.2%

League track record ↗

Based on 8 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 50%

O2.5 88%

BTTS 88%

Score Hit 38%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 0 31%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 4-0

xG (home)1.8 xG (away)0.9 BTTS prob49.2%

H 54% / xG 1.8-0.9 / O2.5 50% / NoBTTS 49%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 11.0%

#2 2–0 10.8%

#3 1–0 12.1%

#4 2–1 9.8%

#5 0–0 6.8%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Courtételle1.8

Münsingen0.9

COMBINED 2.7 xG → O2.5 PROB 50.5% · O3.5 PROB 29.3%

Form & verdict PPG

COURTÉTELLE · PPG 1.76

MÜNSINGEN · PPG 1.48

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +0.87 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

Courtételle (H) 53.5%

ODDS 1.60 · IMPLIED 62.5% EV -14.4%

Draw 24.6%

ODDS 4.00 · IMPLIED 25.0% EV -1.0%

Münsingen (A) 21.9%

ODDS 4.20 · IMPLIED 23.8% EV -4.8%

Match Preview & Prediction

Courtételle face Münsingen in Switzerland - 1. Liga Classic - Group 2 on Wednesday, August 26, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Courtételle a 54% chance, the draw 25% and Münsingen 22%, so Courtételle are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.8 for Courtételle and 0.9 for Münsingen (2.7 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 51% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 49% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Courtételle are averaging 1.76 points per game versus 1.48 for Münsingen. This match finished 4-0.