Today / Hungary - NB III - Southwest / Ferencváros II vs Majosi

Ferencváros II vs Majosi Prediction— Hungary - NB III - Southwest

Southwest · Matchday 5 ·Wednesday, August 26, 2026, 15:30

Ferencváros II

PPG 1.84 · HOME

LAST 5

WDLWW

5 – 0

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · O2.5

Majosi

PPG 1.23 · AWAY

LAST 5

LLWLW

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.4 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-03.4%0-14.7%0-23.2%0-31.5%0-4+0.7%1 1-06.7%1-19.4%1-26.5%1-33.0%1-4+1.4%2 2-06.8%2-19.4%2-26.5%2-33.0%2-4+1.4%3 3-04.5%3-16.3%3-24.3%3-32.0%3-4+0.9%4+ 4+-03.6%4+-15.0%4+-23.5%4+-31.6%4+-4+0.8%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 48.2% — — —

Draw 22.7% — — —

Away win 29.2% — — —

Over 2.5 63.3% — — —

Over 3.5 40.2% — — —

BTTS 63.1% — — —

Home O1.5 56.3% — — —

Away O1.5 40.9% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 7 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 100%

O2.5 100%

BTTS 71%

Score Hit 29%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 9.4%

#2 2–1 9.4%

#3 1–2 6.5%

#4 2–0 6.8%

#5 2–2 6.5%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Ferencváros II2.0

Majosi1.4

COMBINED 3.4 xG → O2.5 PROB 63.3% · O3.5 PROB 40.2%

Form & verdict PPG

FERENCVÁROS II · PPG 1.84

MAJOSI · PPG 1.23

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +0.62 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

Ferencváros II (H) 48.2%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 22.7%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Majosi (A) 29.2%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Ferencváros II face Majosi in Hungary - NB III - Southwest on Wednesday, August 26, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Ferencváros II a 48% chance, the draw 23% and Majosi 29%, so Ferencváros II are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.0 for Ferencváros II and 1.4 for Majosi (3.4 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 63% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 63% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Ferencváros II are averaging 1.84 points per game versus 1.23 for Majosi. This match finished 5-0.