Today / Slovenia - 3. SNL - East / Rače vs Korotan Prevalje

Rače vs Korotan Prevalje Prediction— Slovenia - 3. SNL - East

East · Matchday 3 ·Wednesday, August 26, 2026, 15:30

Rače

PPG 1.35 · HOME

LAST 5

DLD ··

0 – 0

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · BTTS

Korotan Prevalje

PPG 1.55 · AWAY

LAST 5

WDD ··

// Model verdict

BTTS

xG gap +0.29 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-07.1%0-18.3%0-24.9%0-31.9%0-4+0.7%1 1-010.4%1-112.3%1-27.2%1-32.8%1-4+1.1%2 2-07.6%2-19.0%2-25.3%2-32.1%2-4+0.8%3 3-03.7%3-14.4%3-22.6%3-31.0%3-4+0.4%4+ 4+-01.9%4+-12.2%4+-21.3%4+-30.5%4+-4+0.2%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 42.5% — — —

Draw 27.1% — — —

Away win 30.4% — — —

Over 2.5 50.5% — — —

Over 3.5 30.0% — — —

BTTS 53.0% — — —

Home O1.5 40.1% — — —

Away O1.5 33.0% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 5 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 80%

O2.5 80%

BTTS 60%

Score Hit 40%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 12.3%

#2 2–1 9.0%

#3 1–0 10.4%

#4 0–0✓ 7.1%

#5 2–0 7.6%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Rače1.5

Korotan Prevalje1.2

COMBINED 2.6 xG → O2.5 PROB 50.5% · O3.5 PROB 30.0%

Form & verdict PPG

RAČE · PPG 1.35

KOROTAN PREVALJE · PPG 1.55

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

xG gap +0.29 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Rače (H) 42.5%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 27.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Korotan Prevalje (A) 30.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Rače face Korotan Prevalje in Slovenia - 3. SNL - East on Wednesday, August 26, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Rače a 43% chance, the draw 27% and Korotan Prevalje 30%, so Rače are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.5 for Rače and 1.2 for Korotan Prevalje (2.6 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 51% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 53% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Rače are averaging 1.35 points per game versus 1.55 for Korotan Prevalje. This match finished 0-0.