Today / Slovenia - 3. SNL - East / Videm vs Fužinar

Videm vs Fužinar Prediction— Slovenia - 3. SNL - East

East · Matchday 2 ·Sunday, August 23, 2026, 08:30

Videm

PPG 2.36 · HOME

LAST 5

LL ···

2 – 1

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · O2.5

Fužinar

PPG 1.52 · AWAY

LAST 5

WW ···

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.6 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-02.8%0-14.2%0-23.2%0-31.6%0-4+0.8%1 1-05.8%1-18.7%1-26.6%1-33.3%1-4+1.7%2 2-06.0%2-19.0%2-26.8%2-33.4%2-4+1.8%3 3-04.2%3-16.2%3-24.7%3-32.4%3-4+1.2%4+ 4+-03.5%4+-15.2%4+-23.9%4+-32.0%4+-4+1.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 47.2% — — —

Draw 23.4% — — —

Away win 29.4% — — —

Over 2.5 62.6% — — —

Over 3.5 39.4% — — —

BTTS 61.3% — — —

Home O1.5 59.6% — — —

Away O1.5 43.4% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 5 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 80%

O2.5 80%

BTTS 60%

Score Hit 40%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 8.7%

#2 2–1✓ 9.0%

#3 1–2 6.6%

#4 2–2 6.8%

#5 3–1 6.2%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Videm2.1

Fužinar1.5

COMBINED 3.6 xG → O2.5 PROB 62.6% · O3.5 PROB 39.4%

Form & verdict PPG

VIDEM · PPG 2.36

FUŽINAR · PPG 1.52

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +0.57 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

Videm (H) 47.2%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 23.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Fužinar (A) 29.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Videm face Fužinar in Slovenia - 3. SNL - East on Sunday, August 23, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Videm a 47% chance, the draw 23% and Fužinar 29%, so Videm are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.1 for Videm and 1.5 for Fužinar (3.6 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 63% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 61% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Videm are averaging 2.36 points per game versus 1.52 for Fužinar. This match finished 2-1.