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Beluša vs Rača Prediction— Slovakia - 3. liga - West

West · Matchday 3 ·Sunday, August 23, 2026, 14:30

Beluša

PPG 2.02 · HOME

LAST 5

WWW ··

4 – 2

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · HOME O1.5

Rača

PPG 0.97 · AWAY

LAST 5

DLL ··

// Model verdict

Home Over 1.5

xG gap +2.07 for Home, form 2.02 vs 0.97 - Strong consensus

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-01.7%0-11.7%0-20.9%0-30.3%0-4+0.1%1 1-05.2%1-15.3%1-22.6%1-30.9%1-4+0.3%2 2-08.0%2-18.1%2-24.0%2-31.3%2-4+0.4%3 3-08.2%3-18.2%3-24.1%3-31.4%3-4+0.4%4+ 4+-013.5%4+-113.5%4+-26.8%4+-32.3%4+-4+0.7%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 68.0% — — —

Draw 16.2% — — —

Away win 15.9% — — —

Over 2.5 67.3% — — —

Over 3.5 46.3% — — —

BTTS 60.3% — — —

Home O1.5 78.4% — — —

Away O1.5 30.7% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 10 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 40%

O2.5 60%

BTTS 70%

Score Hit 40%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 3–1 8.2%

#2 3–0 8.2%

#3 2–1 8.1%

#4 2–0 8.0%

#5 1–1 5.3%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Beluša3.1

Rača1.0

COMBINED 4.1 xG → O2.5 PROB 67.3% · O3.5 PROB 46.3%

Form & verdict PPG

BELUŠA · PPG 2.02

RAČA · PPG 0.97

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

66%

STRONG_HOME

xG gap +2.07 for Home, form 2.02 vs 0.97 - Strong consensus

Win probability 1X2

Beluša (H) 68.0%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 16.2%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Rača (A) 15.9%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Beluša face Rača in Slovakia - 3. liga - West on Sunday, August 23, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Beluša a 68% chance, the draw 16% and Rača 16%, so Beluša are favoured to win. Expected goals are 3.1 for Beluša and 1.0 for Rača (4.1 total). The most likely scoreline is 3-1. There is a 67% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 60% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Beluša are averaging 2.02 points per game versus 0.97 for Rača. This match finished 4-2.