Today / Slovakia - 3. liga - East / MSK Tesla Stropkov vs Slovan Sabinov

MSK Tesla Stropkov vs Slovan Sabinov Prediction— Slovakia - 3. liga - East

East · Matchday 3 ·Sunday, August 23, 2026, 14:30

MSK Tesla Stropkov

PPG 1.64 · HOME

LAST 5

DWL ··

3 – 0

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · HOME O1.5

Slovan Sabinov

PPG 1.35 · AWAY

LAST 5

WLL ··

// Model verdict

Home Over 1.5

xG gap +1.35 - moderate Home edge

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-02.7%0-13.1%0-21.7%0-30.7%0-4+0.2%1 1-06.8%1-17.6%1-24.3%1-31.6%1-4+0.6%2 2-08.4%2-19.4%2-25.3%2-32.0%2-4+0.7%3 3-06.9%3-17.8%3-24.4%3-31.6%3-4+0.6%4+ 4+-07.7%4+-18.6%4+-24.8%4+-31.8%4+-4+0.7%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 56.0% — — —

Draw 22.2% — — —

Away win 21.9% — — —

Over 2.5 63.1% — — —

Over 3.5 42.4% — — —

BTTS 60.7% — — —

Home O1.5 65.1% — — —

Away O1.5 35.6% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 9 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 100%

O2.5 78%

BTTS 22%

Score Hit 22%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 7.6%

#2 2–1 9.4%

#3 2–0 8.4%

#4 3–1 7.8%

#5 1–2 4.3%

Expected goals MODEL xG

MSK Tesla Stropkov2.5

Slovan Sabinov1.1

COMBINED 3.6 xG → O2.5 PROB 63.1% · O3.5 PROB 42.4%

Form & verdict PPG

MSK TESLA STROPKOV · PPG 1.64

SLOVAN SABINOV · PPG 1.35

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +1.35 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

MSK Tesla Stropkov (H) 56.0%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 22.2%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Slovan Sabinov (A) 21.9%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

MSK Tesla Stropkov face Slovan Sabinov in Slovakia - 3. liga - East on Sunday, August 23, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives MSK Tesla Stropkov a 56% chance, the draw 22% and Slovan Sabinov 22%, so MSK Tesla Stropkov are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.5 for MSK Tesla Stropkov and 1.1 for Slovan Sabinov (3.6 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 63% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 61% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, MSK Tesla Stropkov are averaging 1.64 points per game versus 1.35 for Slovan Sabinov. This match finished 3-0.