Today / Germany - U19 Bundesliga / Bayer Leverkusen U19 vs Saarbrücken U19

Bayer Leverkusen U19 vs Saarbrücken U19 Prediction— Germany - U19 Bundesliga

Preliminary ·Sunday, August 23, 2026, 10:00

Bayer Leverkusen U19

PPG 2.16 · HOME

LAST 5

WWWW ·

6 – 0

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · HOME

Saarbrücken U19

PPG 0.98 · AWAY

LAST 5

LLL ··

// Model verdict

Home

xG gap +3.40 for Home, form 2.16 vs 0.98 - Strong consensus

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-00.6%0-10.5%0-20.2%0-30.1%0-4+0.0%1 1-02.5%1-12.2%1-21.0%1-30.3%1-4+0.1%2 2-05.3%2-14.6%2-22.0%2-30.6%2-4+0.2%3 3-07.5%3-16.6%3-22.9%3-30.9%3-4+0.2%4+ 4+-025.6%4+-122.6%4+-210.0%4+-32.9%4+-4+0.8%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 80.5% — — —

Draw 11.9% — — —

Away win 7.6% — — —

Over 2.5 76.0% — — —

Over 3.5 55.5% — — —

BTTS 53.0% — — —

Home O1.5 78.4% — — —

Away O1.5 22.8% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 51 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 69%

O2.5 78%

BTTS 67%

Score Hit 29%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 4–0 8.0%

#2 3–0 7.5%

#3 4–1 7.1%

#4 5–0 6.9%

#5 3–1 6.6%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Bayer Leverkusen U194.3

Saarbrücken U190.9

COMBINED 5.2 xG → O2.5 PROB 76.0% · O3.5 PROB 55.5%

Form & verdict PPG

BAYER LEVERKUSEN U19 · PPG 2.16

SAARBRÜCKEN U19 · PPG 0.98

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

66%

STRONG_HOME

xG gap +3.40 for Home, form 2.16 vs 0.98 - Strong consensus

Win probability 1X2

Bayer Leverkusen U19 (H) 80.5%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 11.9%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Saarbrücken U19 (A) 7.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Bayer Leverkusen U19 face Saarbrücken U19 in Germany - U19 Bundesliga on Sunday, August 23, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Bayer Leverkusen U19 a 81% chance, the draw 12% and Saarbrücken U19 8%, so Bayer Leverkusen U19 are favoured to win. Expected goals are 4.3 for Bayer Leverkusen U19 and 0.9 for Saarbrücken U19 (5.2 total). The most likely scoreline is 4-0. There is a 76% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 53% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Bayer Leverkusen U19 are averaging 2.16 points per game versus 0.98 for Saarbrücken U19. This match finished 6-0.